SPKX Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

SPKX Etf  USD 9.05  0.15  1.63%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SPKX on the next trading day is expected to be 8.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.39. SPKX Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for SPKX is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SPKX value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SPKX Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SPKX on the next trading day is expected to be 8.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SPKX Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SPKX's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SPKX Etf Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SPKX etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SPKX etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2691
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0249
SAESum of the absolute errors18.3921
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SPKX. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SPKX. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SPKX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPKX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.059.059.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.878.879.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.6210.1211.62
Details

SPKX Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SPKX etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SPKX could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SPKX by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SPKX Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SPKX etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SPKX shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SPKX etf market strength indicators, traders can identify SPKX entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SPKX Risk Indicators

The analysis of SPKX's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SPKX's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spkx etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether SPKX offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SPKX's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Spkx Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Spkx Etf:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
The market value of SPKX is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPKX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPKX's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPKX's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SPKX's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPKX's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPKX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPKX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPKX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.