SocialPlay USA Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SPLY Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SocialPlay USA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. SocialPlay Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of SocialPlay USA's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SocialPlay USA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SocialPlay USA from the perspective of SocialPlay USA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SocialPlay USA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. SocialPlay USA after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SocialPlay |
SocialPlay USA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SocialPlay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SocialPlay using various technical indicators. When you analyze SocialPlay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SocialPlay USA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SocialPlay USA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SocialPlay Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SocialPlay USA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SocialPlay USA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SocialPlay USA | SocialPlay USA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SocialPlay USA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SocialPlay USA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SocialPlay USA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered SocialPlay USA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SocialPlay USA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SocialPlay USA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for SocialPlay USA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SocialPlay USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SocialPlay USA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SocialPlay USA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SocialPlay USA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SocialPlay USA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SocialPlay USA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SocialPlay USA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SocialPlay USA's historical news coverage. SocialPlay USA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered SocialPlay USA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SocialPlay USA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SocialPlay USA is based on 3 months time horizon.
SocialPlay USA Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SocialPlay USA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SocialPlay USA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SocialPlay USA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
|
SocialPlay USA Hype Timeline
SocialPlay USA is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SocialPlay is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on SocialPlay USA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.04. SocialPlay USA had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 27th of July 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SocialPlay USA to cross-verify your projections.SocialPlay USA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SocialPlay USA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SocialPlay USA's future price movements. Getting to know how SocialPlay USA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SocialPlay USA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BLKCF | Global Gaming Technologies | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TERA | TeraForce Technology | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IPUB | indiePub Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZSTN | Zst Digital Networks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SOFO | Sonic Foundry | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HOKUQ | Hoku Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FDBL | Friendable | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SPHM | Spotlight Homes | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SIMC | Simclar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| EDTA | E data | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for SocialPlay USA
For every potential investor in SocialPlay, whether a beginner or expert, SocialPlay USA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SocialPlay Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SocialPlay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SocialPlay USA's price trends.SocialPlay USA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SocialPlay USA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SocialPlay USA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SocialPlay USA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SocialPlay USA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SocialPlay USA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SocialPlay USA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SocialPlay USA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SocialPlay USA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for SocialPlay USA
The number of cover stories for SocialPlay USA depends on current market conditions and SocialPlay USA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SocialPlay USA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SocialPlay USA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Additional Tools for SocialPlay Pink Sheet Analysis
When running SocialPlay USA's price analysis, check to measure SocialPlay USA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SocialPlay USA is operating at the current time. Most of SocialPlay USA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SocialPlay USA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SocialPlay USA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SocialPlay USA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.