SIMPPLE Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| SPPL Stock | 3.15 0.18 5.41% |
SIMPPLE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of SIMPPLE's share price is approaching 35. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SIMPPLE, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SIMPPLE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary from the perspective of SIMPPLE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 2.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.27. SIMPPLE after-hype prediction price | USD 3.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SIMPPLE to cross-verify your projections. SIMPPLE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SIMPPLE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SIMPPLE using various technical indicators. When you analyze SIMPPLE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SIMPPLE Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 2.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SIMPPLE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SIMPPLE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SIMPPLE Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SIMPPLE | SIMPPLE Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SIMPPLE Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SIMPPLE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SIMPPLE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.85, respectively. We have considered SIMPPLE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SIMPPLE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SIMPPLE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2269 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.316 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0774 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.2749 |
Predictive Modules for SIMPPLE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SIMPPLE After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SIMPPLE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SIMPPLE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SIMPPLE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SIMPPLE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SIMPPLE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SIMPPLE's historical news coverage. SIMPPLE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 8.65, respectively. We have considered SIMPPLE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SIMPPLE is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary is based on 3 months time horizon.
SIMPPLE Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SIMPPLE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SIMPPLE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SIMPPLE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.91 | 5.50 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.15 | 3.15 | 0.00 |
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SIMPPLE Hype Timeline
SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary is at this time traded for 3.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. SIMPPLE is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.91%. %. The volatility of related hype on SIMPPLE is about 183333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.15. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.25. SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 7th of April 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SIMPPLE to cross-verify your projections.SIMPPLE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SIMPPLE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SIMPPLE's future price movements. Getting to know how SIMPPLE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SIMPPLE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CREX | Creative Realities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.81 | 0.05 | 8.28 | (5.28) | 21.10 | |
| BLBX | Blackboxstocks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.77 | 0.12 | 13.09 | (10.02) | 37.55 | |
| SWVL | Swvl Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.93 | (7.21) | 28.63 | |
| CSAI | Cloudastructure Class A | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.84 | (12.42) | 44.86 | |
| CYN | Cyngn Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 8.79 | (8.91) | 28.85 | |
| WETO | Webus International Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 4.60 | (7.83) | 20.74 | |
| SELX | Semilux International Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.07 | 0.07 | 10.96 | (15.65) | 104.21 | |
| ARBE | Arbe Robotics | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.71 | (7.89) | 23.36 | |
| NTCL | NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.50 | (16.36) | 71.43 | |
| FCUV | Focus Universal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 7.47 | (16.67) | 43.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for SIMPPLE
For every potential investor in SIMPPLE, whether a beginner or expert, SIMPPLE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SIMPPLE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SIMPPLE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SIMPPLE's price trends.SIMPPLE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SIMPPLE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SIMPPLE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SIMPPLE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SIMPPLE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SIMPPLE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SIMPPLE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SIMPPLE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SIMPPLE Risk Indicators
The analysis of SIMPPLE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SIMPPLE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting simpple stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.5 | |||
| Variance | 30.29 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SIMPPLE
The number of cover stories for SIMPPLE depends on current market conditions and SIMPPLE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SIMPPLE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SIMPPLE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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SIMPPLE Short Properties
SIMPPLE's future price predictability will typically decrease when SIMPPLE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SIMPPLE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SIMPPLE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 514.8 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SIMPPLE to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SIMPPLE. If investors know SIMPPLE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SIMPPLE listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SIMPPLE LTD Ordinary is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SIMPPLE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SIMPPLE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SIMPPLE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SIMPPLE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SIMPPLE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SIMPPLE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SIMPPLE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SIMPPLE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.