Specificity Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SPTY Stock | USD 0.08 0.02 23.23% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Specificity on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.32. Specificity Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Specificity's share price is approaching 39. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Specificity, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Specificity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Specificity from the perspective of Specificity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Specificity on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.32. Specificity after-hype prediction price | USD 0.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Specificity |
Specificity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Specificity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Specificity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Specificity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Specificity Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Specificity on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Specificity Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Specificity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Specificity Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Specificity | Specificity Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Specificity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Specificity's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Specificity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0008 and 31.87, respectively. We have considered Specificity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Specificity pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Specificity pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0124 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.072 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.3348 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.3194 |
Predictive Modules for Specificity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Specificity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Specificity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Specificity After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Specificity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Specificity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Specificity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Specificity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Specificity's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Specificity's historical news coverage. Specificity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 31.93, respectively. We have considered Specificity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Specificity is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Specificity is based on 3 months time horizon.
Specificity Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Specificity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Specificity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Specificity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 31.80 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.08 | 0.08 | 5.26 |
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Specificity Hype Timeline
Specificity is at this time traded for 0.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.17. Specificity is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 5.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Specificity is about 5694.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.25. Specificity currently holds about 26.14 K in cash with (1.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Specificity to cross-verify your projections.Specificity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Specificity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Specificity's future price movements. Getting to know how Specificity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Specificity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INEOF | INEO Tech Corp | 5.98 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 16.36 | (20.42) | 74.61 | |
| SFUNY | Fang Holdings | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | (6.25) | 147.37 | |
| AATV | Adaptive Ad Systems | (0.03) | 1 per month | 6.84 | 0.07 | 22.22 | (18.18) | 120.83 | |
| AOECF | Aferian Plc | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AMFL | American Films | (0.08) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 15.60 | (14.00) | 68.95 | |
| MMDDF | Mirriad Advertising plc | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | (33.33) | 321.43 | |
| EZOO | Ezagoo Limited | (0.17) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.91 | |
| HHSE | Hanover House | 0.05 | 6 per month | 7.86 | (0) | 16.13 | (16.22) | 75.41 | |
| ADMG | Adamant DRI Processing | (0.17) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30,411 | |
| BMTM | Bright Mountain Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 21.21 | (23.08) | 99.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Specificity
For every potential investor in Specificity, whether a beginner or expert, Specificity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Specificity Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Specificity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Specificity's price trends.Specificity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Specificity pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Specificity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Specificity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Specificity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Specificity pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Specificity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Specificity pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Specificity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1021.98 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.53) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.77 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0835 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.081 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.13 |
Specificity Risk Indicators
The analysis of Specificity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Specificity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting specificity pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 22.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 23.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 31.33 | |||
| Variance | 981.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 787.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 548.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (31.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Specificity
The number of cover stories for Specificity depends on current market conditions and Specificity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Specificity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Specificity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Specificity Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Specificity's price analysis, check to measure Specificity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Specificity is operating at the current time. Most of Specificity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Specificity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Specificity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Specificity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.