SQZ Biotechnologies Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

SQZB Stock   0.02  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SQZ Biotechnologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast SQZ Biotechnologies' stock prices and determine the direction of SQZ Biotechnologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SQZ Biotechnologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of SQZ Biotechnologies' share price is at 50. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SQZ Biotechnologies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SQZ Biotechnologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SQZ Biotechnologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SQZ Biotechnologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SQZ Biotechnologies from the perspective of SQZ Biotechnologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SQZ Biotechnologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.

SQZ Biotechnologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

SQZ Biotechnologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SQZ price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SQZ using various technical indicators. When you analyze SQZ charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through SQZ Biotechnologies price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

SQZ Biotechnologies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of SQZ Biotechnologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000234, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SQZ Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SQZ Biotechnologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SQZ Biotechnologies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

SQZ Biotechnologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SQZ Biotechnologies' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SQZ Biotechnologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 4.87, respectively. We have considered SQZ Biotechnologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
4.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SQZ Biotechnologies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SQZ Biotechnologies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.1435
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0281
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0454
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as SQZ Biotechnologies historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for SQZ Biotechnologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SQZ Biotechnologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SQZ Biotechnologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SQZ Biotechnologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SQZ Biotechnologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SQZ Biotechnologies.

SQZ Biotechnologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of SQZ Biotechnologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SQZ Biotechnologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SQZ Biotechnologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SQZ Biotechnologies Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SQZ Biotechnologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SQZ Biotechnologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SQZ Biotechnologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
4.84
  0.01 
  0.01 
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.02
0.02
16.67 
16,133  
Notes

SQZ Biotechnologies Hype Timeline

SQZ Biotechnologies is at this time traded for 0.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. SQZ is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -16.67%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on SQZ Biotechnologies is about 6088.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

SQZ Biotechnologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SQZ Biotechnologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SQZ Biotechnologies' future price movements. Getting to know how SQZ Biotechnologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SQZ Biotechnologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ORGSOrgenesis(0.75)2 per month 28.93  0.28  341.18 (75.71) 512.08 
EMMAEmmaus Life Sciences 0.00 0 per month 5.96  0.09  20.37 (13.43) 64.24 
VPROViropro 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PHCGPure Harvest Cannabis(0.01)1 per month 10.51  0.11  28.57 (22.22) 122.22 
YECOYulong Eco Materials(0.04)2 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  42.46 
BITRFBiotron Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00 (18.75) 1,765 
SYBESYBLEU INC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VIRXViracta Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HXBMHelix BioMedix 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 0.00 (3.23) 25.93 
IDCNIndocan Resources 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for SQZ Biotechnologies

For every potential investor in SQZ, whether a beginner or expert, SQZ Biotechnologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SQZ Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SQZ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SQZ Biotechnologies' price trends.

SQZ Biotechnologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SQZ Biotechnologies pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SQZ Biotechnologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SQZ Biotechnologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SQZ Biotechnologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SQZ Biotechnologies pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SQZ Biotechnologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SQZ Biotechnologies pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SQZ Biotechnologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SQZ Biotechnologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of SQZ Biotechnologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SQZ Biotechnologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sqz pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SQZ Biotechnologies

The number of cover stories for SQZ Biotechnologies depends on current market conditions and SQZ Biotechnologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SQZ Biotechnologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SQZ Biotechnologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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