Swissinvest Real Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SREF Fund   213.00  2.00  0.95%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Swissinvest Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 213.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.50. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Swissinvest Real's fund prices and determine the direction of Swissinvest Real Estate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. The relative strength index (RSI) of Swissinvest Real's fund price is slightly above 62. This usually implies that the fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Swissinvest, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Swissinvest Real's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Swissinvest Real and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Swissinvest Real's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Swissinvest Real Estate, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Swissinvest Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Swissinvest Real Estate from the perspective of Swissinvest Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Swissinvest Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 213.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.50.

Swissinvest Real after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 213.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Swissinvest Real Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Swissinvest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swissinvest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Swissinvest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Swissinvest Real - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Swissinvest Real prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Swissinvest Real price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Swissinvest Real Estate.

Swissinvest Real Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Swissinvest Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 213.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03, mean absolute percentage error of 2.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Swissinvest Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Swissinvest Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Swissinvest Real Fund Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Swissinvest Real fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Swissinvest Real fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1271
MADMean absolute deviation1.0254
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0048
SAESum of the absolute errors60.5
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Swissinvest Real observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Swissinvest Real Estate observations.

Predictive Modules for Swissinvest Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swissinvest Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Swissinvest Real Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Swissinvest Real fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Swissinvest Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Swissinvest Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Swissinvest Real Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Swissinvest Real fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Swissinvest Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Swissinvest Real fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Swissinvest Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Swissinvest Real Risk Indicators

The analysis of Swissinvest Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Swissinvest Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting swissinvest fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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