Seritage Growth Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SRG Stock  USD 4.45  0.06  1.37%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Seritage Growth Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 4.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.80. Seritage Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Seritage Growth's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Seritage Growth Properties is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Seritage Growth 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Seritage Growth Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 4.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seritage Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seritage Growth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Seritage Growth Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Seritage GrowthSeritage Growth Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Seritage Growth Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Seritage Growth's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seritage Growth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.15 and 6.48, respectively. We have considered Seritage Growth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.45
4.32
Expected Value
6.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seritage Growth stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seritage Growth stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.8622
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0062
MADMean absolute deviation0.1194
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0276
SAESum of the absolute errors6.805
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Seritage Growth. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Seritage Growth Properties and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Seritage Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seritage Growth Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.244.406.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.126.288.44
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.9212.0013.32
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Seritage Growth

For every potential investor in Seritage, whether a beginner or expert, Seritage Growth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seritage Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seritage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seritage Growth's price trends.

View Seritage Growth Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Seritage Growth Prop Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Seritage Growth's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Seritage Growth's current price.

Seritage Growth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seritage Growth stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seritage Growth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seritage Growth stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seritage Growth Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Seritage Growth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Seritage Growth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seritage Growth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seritage stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Seritage Growth Prop is a strong investment it is important to analyze Seritage Growth's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Seritage Growth's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Seritage Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seritage Growth to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seritage Growth. If investors know Seritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seritage Growth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Earnings Share
(2.55)
Revenue Per Share
1.003
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.46)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Seritage Growth Prop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seritage Growth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seritage Growth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seritage Growth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seritage Growth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seritage Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seritage Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seritage Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.