Sears Canada Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

SRSCQDelisted Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sears Canada on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Sears Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Sears Canada is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sears Canada value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sears Canada Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sears Canada on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sears Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sears Canada's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sears Canada Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sears CanadaSears Canada Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sears Canada pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sears Canada pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sears Canada. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sears Canada. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sears Canada

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sears Canada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sears Canada's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000850.00
Details

Sears Canada Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sears Canada pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sears Canada could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sears Canada by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sears Canada Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sears Canada pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sears Canada shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sears Canada pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sears Canada entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pair Trading with Sears Canada

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Sears Canada position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sears Canada will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Sears Canada could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Sears Canada when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Sears Canada - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Sears Canada to buy it.
The correlation of Sears Canada is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Sears Canada moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Sears Canada moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Sears Canada can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Other Consideration for investing in Sears Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Sears Canada check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Sears Canada's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.