SRx Health Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SRXH Stock   0.23  0.01  4.55%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SRx Health Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.17. SRx Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SRx Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of SRx Health's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SRx Health's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SRx Health Solutions, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SRx Health's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
Using SRx Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SRx Health Solutions from the perspective of SRx Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SRx Health Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.17.

SRx Health after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SRx Health to cross-verify your projections.
As of now, SRx Health's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The SRx Health's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 10.36, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 5.81. . The SRx Health's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 30.1 M.

SRx Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SRx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SRx using various technical indicators. When you analyze SRx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

SRx Health Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the SRx Health's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.2 M
Current Value
1.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
6.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for SRx Health is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SRx Health Solutions value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SRx Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SRx Health Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SRx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SRx Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SRx Health Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SRx HealthSRx Health Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SRx Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SRx Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SRx Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 11.08, respectively. We have considered SRx Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.23
0.14
Expected Value
11.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SRx Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SRx Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.9233
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0356
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1124
SAESum of the absolute errors2.1713
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SRx Health Solutions. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SRx Health. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SRx Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SRx Health Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SRx Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2311.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2211.09
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SRx Health

For every potential investor in SRx, whether a beginner or expert, SRx Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SRx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SRx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SRx Health's price trends.

SRx Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SRx Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SRx Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SRx Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SRx Health Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SRx Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SRx Health's current price.

SRx Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SRx Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SRx Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SRx Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SRx Health Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SRx Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of SRx Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SRx Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting srx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether SRx Health Solutions offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SRx Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Srx Health Solutions Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Srx Health Solutions Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SRx Health to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SRx Health. If investors know SRx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SRx Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
13.04
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
Return On Assets
(0.11)
The market value of SRx Health Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SRx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SRx Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SRx Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SRx Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SRx Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SRx Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SRx Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SRx Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.