Strattec Security Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SS8 Stock  EUR 73.00  3.50  5.04%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Strattec Security Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 72.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.36. Strattec Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Strattec Security's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Strattec Security's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Strattec Security's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Strattec Security and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Strattec Security's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Strattec Security Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Strattec Security hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Strattec Security Corp from the perspective of Strattec Security response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Strattec Security Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 72.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.36.

Strattec Security after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 73.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Strattec Security to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Strattec Stock please use our How to Invest in Strattec Security guide.

Strattec Security Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Strattec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Strattec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Strattec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Strattec Security simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Strattec Security Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Strattec Security Corp prices get older.

Strattec Security Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Strattec Security Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 72.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47, mean absolute percentage error of 3.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Strattec Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Strattec Security's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Strattec Security Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Strattec SecurityStrattec Security Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Strattec Security Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Strattec Security's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Strattec Security's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.51 and 76.11, respectively. We have considered Strattec Security's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.00
72.81
Expected Value
76.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Strattec Security stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Strattec Security stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5643
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3874
MADMean absolute deviation1.4726
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.024
SAESum of the absolute errors88.3578
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Strattec Security Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Strattec Security observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Strattec Security

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Strattec Security Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.7073.0076.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.9463.2480.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Strattec Security

For every potential investor in Strattec, whether a beginner or expert, Strattec Security's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Strattec Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Strattec. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Strattec Security's price trends.

Strattec Security Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Strattec Security stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Strattec Security could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Strattec Security by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Strattec Security Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Strattec Security's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Strattec Security's current price.

Strattec Security Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Strattec Security stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Strattec Security shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Strattec Security stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Strattec Security Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Strattec Security Risk Indicators

The analysis of Strattec Security's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Strattec Security's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting strattec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Strattec Stock

Strattec Security financial ratios help investors to determine whether Strattec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Strattec with respect to the benefits of owning Strattec Security security.