SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SSCC Stock | USD 2.22 0.00 0.00% |
SMURFIT-STONE Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER stock prices and determine the direction of SMURFIT STONE TAINER Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SMURFIT STONE TAINER Corp from the perspective of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SMURFIT STONE TAINER Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER after-hype prediction price | USD 2.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SMURFIT-STONE |
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SMURFIT-STONE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SMURFIT-STONE using various technical indicators. When you analyze SMURFIT-STONE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SMURFIT STONE TAINER Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SMURFIT-STONE Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER | SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.22 and 2.22, respectively. We have considered SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's historical news coverage. SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.22 and 2.22, respectively. We have considered SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER is based on 3 months time horizon.
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.22 | 2.22 | 0.00 |
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SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Hype Timeline
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER is at this time traded for 2.22. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SMURFIT-STONE is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.22. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.92. SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had a split on the 28th of June 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER to cross-verify your projections.SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's future price movements. Getting to know how SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ITFRF | ITFOR Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SVPLF | Kin And Carta | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WEWA | Wewards | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ALVNF | Alviva Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NPTSF | Napatech AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PSHPF | Pro Ship Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DAHLF | Damstra Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FXSRF | Fixstars | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WYLDF | Wyld Networks AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KGNR | Kange Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER
For every potential investor in SMURFIT-STONE, whether a beginner or expert, SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SMURFIT-STONE Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SMURFIT-STONE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's price trends.SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SMURFIT STONE TAINER Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER
The number of cover stories for SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER depends on current market conditions and SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER Short Properties
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's future price predictability will typically decrease when SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SMURFIT STONE TAINER Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Float Shares | 542 | |
| Date Short Interest | 10th of July 2001 |
Other Information on Investing in SMURFIT-STONE Pink Sheet
SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER financial ratios help investors to determine whether SMURFIT-STONE Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SMURFIT-STONE with respect to the benefits of owning SMURFIT-STONE CONTAINER security.