Shiseido Company Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

SSDOFDelisted Stock  USD 32.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shiseido Company Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 31.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.17. Shiseido Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shiseido Company's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Shiseido Company is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Shiseido Company Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Shiseido Company Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shiseido Company Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 31.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shiseido Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shiseido Company's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shiseido Company Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Shiseido CompanyShiseido Company Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shiseido Company pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shiseido Company pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0963
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.429
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors26.1686
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Shiseido Company Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Shiseido Company. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Shiseido Company

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shiseido Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.1032.1032.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.9525.9535.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.1032.1032.10
Details

View Shiseido Company Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shiseido Company Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shiseido Company pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shiseido Company shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shiseido Company pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Shiseido Company Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shiseido Company Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shiseido Company's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shiseido Company's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shiseido pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Other Consideration for investing in Shiseido Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Shiseido Limited check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Shiseido Company's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data