Santos Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SSLZYDelisted Stock  USD 5.38  0.01  0.19%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Santos Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 5.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.24. Santos Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Santos polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Santos Ltd ADR as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Santos Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Santos Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 5.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Santos Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Santos' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Santos Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Santos pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Santos pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6236
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0859
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0171
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2399
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Santos historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Santos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Santos Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.385.385.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.424.425.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Santos. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Santos' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Santos' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Santos Ltd ADR.

View Santos Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Santos Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Santos pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Santos shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Santos pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Santos Ltd ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Santos Risk Indicators

The analysis of Santos' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Santos' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting santos pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Other Consideration for investing in Santos Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Santos Ltd ADR check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Santos' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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