Sensata Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ST Stock  USD 35.43  0.01  0.03%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sensata Technologies Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 36.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.33. Sensata Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Sensata Technologies' share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sensata Technologies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sensata Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sensata Technologies Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sensata Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sensata Technologies Holding from the perspective of Sensata Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sensata Technologies Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 36.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.33.

Sensata Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sensata Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

Sensata Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sensata price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sensata using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sensata charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Sensata Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sensata Technologies Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sensata Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sensata Technologies Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 36.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sensata Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sensata Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sensata Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sensata TechnologiesSensata Technologies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sensata Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sensata Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sensata Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.27 and 38.84, respectively. We have considered Sensata Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.43
36.56
Expected Value
38.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sensata Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sensata Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.112
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8087
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0248
SAESum of the absolute errors49.3333
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sensata Technologies Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sensata Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sensata Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sensata Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sensata Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.1535.4337.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.6033.8836.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.5934.4336.27
Details

Sensata Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sensata Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sensata Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sensata Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sensata Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sensata Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sensata Technologies' historical news coverage. Sensata Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.15 and 37.71, respectively. We have considered Sensata Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.43
35.43
After-hype Price
37.71
Upside
Sensata Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sensata Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sensata Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sensata Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sensata Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sensata Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.28
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.43
35.43
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sensata Technologies Hype Timeline

As of January 22, 2026 Sensata Technologies is listed for 35.43. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Sensata is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sensata Technologies is about 2451.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.45. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sensata Technologies has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.43. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.18. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sensata Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

Sensata Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sensata Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sensata Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Sensata Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sensata Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OSISOSI Systems(0.45)9 per month 2.09  0.05  4.86 (3.51) 20.11 
ITRIItron Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.51 (4.16) 24.28 
NOVTNovanta(0.45)9 per month 4.33  0.02  6.97 (4.57) 26.00 
VICRVicor 0.00 0 per month 2.13  0.28  6.34 (3.61) 16.77 
BDCBelden Inc(0.45)6 per month 1.78 (0.05) 3.11 (3.32) 10.85 
BMIBadger Meter(0.45)3 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.71 (3.12) 14.11 
VNTVontier Corp(0.45)21 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.67 (2.57) 11.26 
PLXSPlexus Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.92  0.13  4.29 (3.51) 10.48 
WKWorkiva 0.85 2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.07 (3.07) 10.41 
BOXBox Inc 2.33 13 per month 0.00 (0.23) 2.76 (3.61) 11.36 

Other Forecasting Options for Sensata Technologies

For every potential investor in Sensata, whether a beginner or expert, Sensata Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sensata Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sensata. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sensata Technologies' price trends.

Sensata Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sensata Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sensata Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sensata Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sensata Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sensata Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sensata Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sensata Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sensata Technologies Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sensata Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sensata Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sensata Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sensata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sensata Technologies

The number of cover stories for Sensata Technologies depends on current market conditions and Sensata Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sensata Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sensata Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sensata Technologies Short Properties

Sensata Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sensata Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sensata Technologies Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sensata Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sensata Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments593.7 M

Additional Tools for Sensata Stock Analysis

When running Sensata Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Sensata Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sensata Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Sensata Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sensata Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sensata Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sensata Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.