Thai Stanley Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

STANLY Stock  THB 218.00  1.00  0.46%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Thai Stanley Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 218.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.36. Thai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Thai Stanley stock prices and determine the direction of Thai Stanley Electric's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Thai Stanley's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Thai Stanley - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Thai Stanley prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Thai Stanley price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Thai Stanley Electric.

Thai Stanley Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Thai Stanley Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 218.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thai Stanley's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Thai Stanley Stock Forecast Pattern

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Thai Stanley Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Thai Stanley's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thai Stanley's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 217.89 and 218.98, respectively. We have considered Thai Stanley's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
218.00
217.89
Downside
218.43
Expected Value
218.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thai Stanley stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thai Stanley stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1565
MADMean absolute deviation0.8705
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.004
SAESum of the absolute errors51.362
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Thai Stanley observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Thai Stanley Electric observations.

Predictive Modules for Thai Stanley

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Stanley Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
218.45219.00219.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
217.70218.25240.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
217.23218.33219.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Thai Stanley

For every potential investor in Thai, whether a beginner or expert, Thai Stanley's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thai Stanley's price trends.

Thai Stanley Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thai Stanley stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thai Stanley could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thai Stanley by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Thai Stanley Electric Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Thai Stanley's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Thai Stanley's current price.

Thai Stanley Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thai Stanley stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thai Stanley shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thai Stanley stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thai Stanley Electric entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thai Stanley Risk Indicators

The analysis of Thai Stanley's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thai Stanley's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai Stanley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Stanley security.