Storebrand ASA Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

STB Stock  NOK 121.90  1.90  1.53%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Storebrand ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 122.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 98.33. Storebrand Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Storebrand ASA is based on an artificially constructed time series of Storebrand ASA daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Storebrand ASA 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Storebrand ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 122.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.86, mean absolute percentage error of 6.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 98.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Storebrand Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Storebrand ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Storebrand ASA Stock Forecast Pattern

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Storebrand ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Storebrand ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Storebrand ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 121.01 and 123.32, respectively. We have considered Storebrand ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
121.90
121.01
Downside
122.16
Expected Value
123.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Storebrand ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Storebrand ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.2045
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6292
MADMean absolute deviation1.8552
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0152
SAESum of the absolute errors98.325
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Storebrand ASA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Storebrand ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Storebrand ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.66123.80124.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
121.19122.33136.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Storebrand ASA

For every potential investor in Storebrand, whether a beginner or expert, Storebrand ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Storebrand Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Storebrand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Storebrand ASA's price trends.

Storebrand ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Storebrand ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Storebrand ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Storebrand ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Storebrand ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Storebrand ASA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Storebrand ASA's current price.

Storebrand ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Storebrand ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Storebrand ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Storebrand ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Storebrand ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Storebrand ASA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Storebrand ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Storebrand ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting storebrand stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Storebrand Stock

Storebrand ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Storebrand Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Storebrand with respect to the benefits of owning Storebrand ASA security.