Performance Trust Etf Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| STBF Etf | 25.41 0.02 0.08% |
Performance Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Performance Trust's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Performance Trust's etf price is roughly 61. This usually implies that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Performance, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Performance Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Performance Trust Short from the perspective of Performance Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Performance Trust Short on the next trading day is expected to be 25.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.38. Performance Trust after-hype prediction price | USD 25.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Performance | Build AI portfolio with Performance Etf |
Performance Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Performance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Performance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Performance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Performance Trust 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Performance Trust Short on the next trading day is expected to be 25.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Performance Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Performance Trust's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Performance Trust Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Performance Trust | Performance Trust Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Performance Trust Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Performance Trust's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Performance Trust's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.32 and 25.48, respectively. We have considered Performance Trust's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Performance Trust etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Performance Trust etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 96.6302 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.024 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0261 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.001 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3825 |
Predictive Modules for Performance Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Performance Trust Short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Performance Trust After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Performance Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Performance Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Performance Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Performance Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Performance Trust's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Performance Trust's historical news coverage. Performance Trust's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.33 and 25.49, respectively. We have considered Performance Trust's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Performance Trust is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Performance Trust Short is based on 3 months time horizon.
Performance Trust Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Performance Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Performance Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Performance Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.41 | 25.41 | 0.00 |
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Performance Trust Hype Timeline
Performance Trust Short is at this time traded for 25.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Performance is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Performance Trust is about 7.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.40. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Performance Trust to cross-verify your projections.Performance Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Performance Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Performance Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how Performance Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Performance Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBSF | Valued Advisers Trust | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.28 | (0.23) | 0.87 | |
| DIAL | Columbia Diversified Fixed | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.09 | (0.38) | 0.33 | (0.27) | 0.76 | |
| IG | Principal Exchange Traded Funds | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.25 | (0.32) | 0.48 | (0.43) | 1.15 | |
| MFSB | MFS Active Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.16 | (0.42) | 0.28 | (0.36) | 0.75 | |
| DMBS | Doubleline Etf Trust | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.15 | (0.36) | 0.30 | (0.30) | 0.82 | |
| VABS | Virtus Newfleet ABSMBS | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.79) | 0.17 | (0.12) | 0.37 | |
| VBND | Vident Core Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.32 | (0.41) | 1.36 | |
| MINT | PIMCO Enhanced Short | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (4.35) | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.06 | |
| VCOB | Tidal Trust IV | (10.01) | 4 per month | 0.16 | (0.30) | 0.26 | (0.40) | 1.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Performance Trust
For every potential investor in Performance, whether a beginner or expert, Performance Trust's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Performance Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Performance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Performance Trust's price trends.Performance Trust Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Performance Trust etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Performance Trust could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Performance Trust by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Performance Trust Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Performance Trust etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Performance Trust shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Performance Trust etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Performance Trust Short entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Performance Trust Risk Indicators
The analysis of Performance Trust's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Performance Trust's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting performance etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0634 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.0797 | |||
| Variance | 0.0064 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0069 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Performance Trust
The number of cover stories for Performance Trust depends on current market conditions and Performance Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Performance Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Performance Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Performance Trust to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
The market value of Performance Trust Short is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Performance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Performance Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Performance Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Performance Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Performance Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Performance Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Performance Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Performance Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.