Stack Capital Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| STCK Stock | 17.64 0.29 1.62% |
Stack Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Stack Capital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Stack Capital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Stack Capital fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Stack Capital's stock price is about 65. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Stack, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 9.757 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.72 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.32) | Wall Street Target Price 17.6667 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.086 |
Using Stack Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stack Capital Group from the perspective of Stack Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stack Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.72. Stack Capital after-hype prediction price | CAD 17.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Stack |
Stack Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stack price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stack using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stack charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Stack Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stack Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stack Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stack Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stack Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stack Capital | Stack Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Stack Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Stack Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stack Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.45 and 21.82, respectively. We have considered Stack Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stack Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stack Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7979 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2697 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0191 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.7189 |
Predictive Modules for Stack Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stack Capital Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stack Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stack Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stack Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stack Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stack Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stack Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stack Capital's historical news coverage. Stack Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.48 and 20.86, respectively. We have considered Stack Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stack Capital is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stack Capital Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stack Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stack Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stack Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stack Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 3.19 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.64 | 17.67 | 0.17 |
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Stack Capital Hype Timeline
Stack Capital Group is at this time traded for 17.64on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Stack is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Stack Capital is about 287100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.64. The company reported the revenue of 1.16 M. Net Income was 15.99 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.57 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stack Capital to cross-verify your projections.Stack Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stack Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stack Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Stack Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stack Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GDV | Global Dividend Growth | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.37 | 0.15 | 1.15 | (1.09) | 3.19 | |
| DFN | Dividend 15 Split | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.49 | 0.24 | 1.47 | (0.63) | 4.59 | |
| PIC-A | Premium Income | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.31 | 0.35 | 2.17 | (1.24) | 6.32 | |
| LFE | Canadian Life Companies | (0.16) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.39 | 1.63 | (0.67) | 3.42 | |
| RS | Real Estate E Commerce | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.91 | 0.01 | 1.72 | (1.77) | 4.35 | |
| XAU | GoldMoney | 0.12 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.34 | (3.62) | 7.76 | |
| URB-A | Urbana | (0.20) | 5 per month | 0.89 | 0.20 | 3.92 | (1.88) | 7.28 | |
| OLY | Olympia Financial Group | 0.14 | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.02 | 2.88 | (1.74) | 12.50 | |
| PWI | Sustainable Power Infrastructure | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.81 | 0.11 | 2.51 | (1.79) | 6.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Stack Capital
For every potential investor in Stack, whether a beginner or expert, Stack Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stack Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stack. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stack Capital's price trends.Stack Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stack Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stack Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stack Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stack Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stack Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stack Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stack Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stack Capital Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1543.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.35) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 65.77 |
Stack Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stack Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stack Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stack stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.08 | |||
| Variance | 9.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Stack Capital
The number of cover stories for Stack Capital depends on current market conditions and Stack Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stack Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stack Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Stack Capital Short Properties
Stack Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stack Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stack Capital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stack Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stack Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Stack Stock
Stack Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stack Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stack with respect to the benefits of owning Stack Capital security.