STANDARD CHARTERED Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| STD Stock | EUR 20.80 0.00 0.00% |
STANDARD Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast STANDARD CHARTERED stock prices and determine the direction of STANDARD CHARTERED's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of STANDARD CHARTERED's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of STANDARD CHARTERED's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using STANDARD CHARTERED hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of STANDARD CHARTERED from the perspective of STANDARD CHARTERED response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STANDARD CHARTERED on the next trading day is expected to be 20.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30. STANDARD CHARTERED after-hype prediction price | EUR 20.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
STANDARD |
STANDARD CHARTERED Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine STANDARD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for STANDARD using various technical indicators. When you analyze STANDARD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
STANDARD CHARTERED Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STANDARD CHARTERED on the next trading day is expected to be 20.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STANDARD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that STANDARD CHARTERED's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
STANDARD CHARTERED Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest STANDARD CHARTERED | STANDARD CHARTERED Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
STANDARD CHARTERED Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting STANDARD CHARTERED's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. STANDARD CHARTERED's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.47 and 22.13, respectively. We have considered STANDARD CHARTERED's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of STANDARD CHARTERED stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent STANDARD CHARTERED stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5671 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.045 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.155 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0082 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.3 |
Predictive Modules for STANDARD CHARTERED
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STANDARD CHARTERED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.STANDARD CHARTERED After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of STANDARD CHARTERED at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in STANDARD CHARTERED or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of STANDARD CHARTERED, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
STANDARD CHARTERED Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting STANDARD CHARTERED's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on STANDARD CHARTERED's historical news coverage. STANDARD CHARTERED's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.51 and 22.17, respectively. We have considered STANDARD CHARTERED's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
STANDARD CHARTERED is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of STANDARD CHARTERED is based on 3 months time horizon.
STANDARD CHARTERED Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as STANDARD CHARTERED is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading STANDARD CHARTERED backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with STANDARD CHARTERED, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.80 | 20.84 | 0.19 |
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STANDARD CHARTERED Hype Timeline
STANDARD CHARTERED is at this time traded for 20.80on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. STANDARD is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on STANDARD CHARTERED is about 652.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.84. The company reported the revenue of 20.05 B. Net Income was 4.05 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STANDARD CHARTERED to cross-verify your projections.STANDARD CHARTERED Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to STANDARD CHARTERED's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict STANDARD CHARTERED's future price movements. Getting to know how STANDARD CHARTERED's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how STANDARD CHARTERED may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CE1 | Perdoceo Education | 1.40 | 9 per month | 1.75 | (0.04) | 2.99 | (3.02) | 10.80 | |
| 7QD | CLOVER HEALTH INV | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.31 | (7.21) | 20.81 | |
| I8M | Sims Metal Management | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.22 | 0.17 | 3.85 | (2.34) | 10.67 | |
| CVS | CVS Health | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.86 | (0.03) | 2.20 | (2.17) | 5.71 | |
| A2T | ATRYS HEALTH SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.36 | (6.47) | 19.70 | |
| HBO | Diamondrock Hospitality Co | (0.05) | 10 per month | 1.44 | 0.09 | 3.82 | (2.68) | 17.14 | |
| RMY | Ramsay Health Care | 0.30 | 4 per month | 1.05 | 0.08 | 2.31 | (1.96) | 14.44 | |
| 8G7 | LANDSEA GREEN MANAGEMENT | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for STANDARD CHARTERED
For every potential investor in STANDARD, whether a beginner or expert, STANDARD CHARTERED's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. STANDARD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in STANDARD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying STANDARD CHARTERED's price trends.STANDARD CHARTERED Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with STANDARD CHARTERED stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of STANDARD CHARTERED could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing STANDARD CHARTERED by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
STANDARD CHARTERED Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how STANDARD CHARTERED stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading STANDARD CHARTERED shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying STANDARD CHARTERED stock market strength indicators, traders can identify STANDARD CHARTERED entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
STANDARD CHARTERED Risk Indicators
The analysis of STANDARD CHARTERED's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in STANDARD CHARTERED's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting standard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8636 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8358 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6986 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for STANDARD CHARTERED
The number of cover stories for STANDARD CHARTERED depends on current market conditions and STANDARD CHARTERED's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that STANDARD CHARTERED is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about STANDARD CHARTERED's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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STANDARD CHARTERED Short Properties
STANDARD CHARTERED's future price predictability will typically decrease when STANDARD CHARTERED's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of STANDARD CHARTERED often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential STANDARD CHARTERED's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STANDARD CHARTERED's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -780 M |
Other Information on Investing in STANDARD Stock
STANDARD CHARTERED financial ratios help investors to determine whether STANDARD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STANDARD with respect to the benefits of owning STANDARD CHARTERED security.