Star Fashion Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| STFS Stock | 0.11 0 3.64% |
Star Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Star Fashion's share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Star Fashion, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.017 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using Star Fashion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Star Fashion Culture from the perspective of Star Fashion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Star Fashion Culture on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35. Star Fashion after-hype prediction price | USD 0.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Fashion to cross-verify your projections. Star Fashion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Star price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Star using various technical indicators. When you analyze Star charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Star Fashion Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Star Fashion Culture on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000077, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Star Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Star Fashion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Star Fashion Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Star Fashion | Star Fashion Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Star Fashion Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Star Fashion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Star Fashion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.47, respectively. We have considered Star Fashion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Star Fashion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Star Fashion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0011 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.006 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0468 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3545 |
Predictive Modules for Star Fashion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Star Fashion Culture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Star Fashion After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Star Fashion at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Star Fashion or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Star Fashion, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Star Fashion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Star Fashion's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Star Fashion's historical news coverage. Star Fashion's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 6.47, respectively. We have considered Star Fashion's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Star Fashion is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Star Fashion Culture is based on 3 months time horizon.
Star Fashion Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Star Fashion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Star Fashion backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Star Fashion, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 6.36 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.11 | 0.11 | 3.51 |
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Star Fashion Hype Timeline
Star Fashion Culture is at this time traded for 0.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Star is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.51%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Star Fashion is about 3669.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.05. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Star Fashion Culture recorded a loss per share of 1.88. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Fashion to cross-verify your projections.Star Fashion Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Star Fashion's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Star Fashion's future price movements. Getting to know how Star Fashion's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Star Fashion may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHR | Cheer Holding | (0.50) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 13.67 | (20.00) | 58.33 | |
| ZNB | Zeta Network Group | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.82 | (11.11) | 90.82 | |
| CMLS | Cumulus Media Class | (0.03) | 22 per month | 11.34 | 0.03 | 30.00 | (17.02) | 70.57 | |
| BZFD | BuzzFeed | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.67 | (7.14) | 39.16 | |
| SWAG | Software Acquisition Group | 0.01 | 8 per month | 6.33 | 0.06 | 9.00 | (12.12) | 63.62 | |
| KUKE | Kuke Music Holding | 0.04 | 15 per month | 25.62 | 0.12 | 150.00 | (60.00) | 382.50 | |
| ADV | Advantage Solutions | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.06 | (6.82) | 22.81 | |
| CNET | ZW Data Action | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.09 | (8.45) | 32.37 | |
| MOBQ | Mobiquity Technologies | (0.95) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 14.29 | (11.11) | 38.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Star Fashion
For every potential investor in Star, whether a beginner or expert, Star Fashion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Star Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Star. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Star Fashion's price trends.Star Fashion Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Star Fashion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Star Fashion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Star Fashion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Star Fashion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Star Fashion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Star Fashion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Star Fashion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Star Fashion Culture entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.11 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.006 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.004 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 71.17 |
Star Fashion Risk Indicators
The analysis of Star Fashion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Star Fashion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting star stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.38 | |||
| Variance | 70.15 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Star Fashion
The number of cover stories for Star Fashion depends on current market conditions and Star Fashion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Star Fashion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Star Fashion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Star Fashion Short Properties
Star Fashion's future price predictability will typically decrease when Star Fashion's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Star Fashion Culture often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Star Fashion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Fashion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 468.7 K |
Additional Tools for Star Stock Analysis
When running Star Fashion's price analysis, check to measure Star Fashion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Star Fashion is operating at the current time. Most of Star Fashion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Star Fashion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Star Fashion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Star Fashion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.