Straker Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

STG Stock   0.35  0.01  2.94%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Straker on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29. Straker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Straker's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Straker's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Straker, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Straker's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.05)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.01)
Wall Street Target Price
0.3692
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Using Straker hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Straker from the perspective of Straker response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Straker on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29.

Straker after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 0.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Straker to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Straker's Other Current Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Total Liabilities is likely to gain to about 12.1 M in 2026, despite the fact that Retained Earnings are likely to grow to (33.7 M).

Straker Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Straker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Straker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Straker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Straker is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Straker value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Straker Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Straker on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Straker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Straker's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Straker Stock Forecast Pattern

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Straker Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Straker's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Straker's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.06, respectively. We have considered Straker's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.35
0.36
Expected Value
7.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Straker stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Straker stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.9699
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0212
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0617
SAESum of the absolute errors1.2948
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Straker. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Straker. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Straker

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Straker. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.357.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.317.01
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.02-0.02-0.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Straker

For every potential investor in Straker, whether a beginner or expert, Straker's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Straker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Straker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Straker's price trends.

Straker Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Straker stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Straker could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Straker by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Straker Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Straker's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Straker's current price.

Straker Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Straker stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Straker shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Straker stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Straker entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Straker Risk Indicators

The analysis of Straker's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Straker's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting straker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Straker Stock Analysis

When running Straker's price analysis, check to measure Straker's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Straker is operating at the current time. Most of Straker's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Straker's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Straker's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Straker to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.