Sol Strategies Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| STKE Stock | 1.36 0.18 15.25% |
Sol Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sol Strategies stock prices and determine the direction of Sol Strategies Common's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Sol Strategies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Sol Strategies' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sol Strategies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sol Strategies Common from the perspective of Sol Strategies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sol Strategies using Sol Strategies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sol using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sol Strategies' stock price.
Sol Strategies Implied Volatility | 2.92 |
Sol Strategies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sol Strategies Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sol Strategies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sol Strategies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sol Strategies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sol Strategies Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.51. Sol Strategies after-hype prediction price | USD 1.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sol Strategies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sol contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sol Strategies Common will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.18% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sol Strategies trading at USD 1.36, that is roughly USD 0.002482 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sol Strategies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sol Strategies Common options at the current volatility level of 2.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sol Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sol Strategies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sol Strategies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sol Strategies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sol Strategies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Sol Strategies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sol Strategies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sol. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sol Strategies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sol Strategies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sol Strategies Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sol Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sol Strategies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sol Strategies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sol Strategies | Sol Strategies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Sol Strategies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sol Strategies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sol Strategies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.74, respectively. We have considered Sol Strategies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sol Strategies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sol Strategies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5575 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0278 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1252 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0608 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.51 |
Predictive Modules for Sol Strategies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sol Strategies Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sol Strategies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sol Strategies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sol Strategies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sol Strategies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sol Strategies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sol Strategies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sol Strategies' historical news coverage. Sol Strategies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 8.55, respectively. We have considered Sol Strategies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sol Strategies is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sol Strategies Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sol Strategies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sol Strategies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sol Strategies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sol Strategies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.05 | 7.38 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 2 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.36 | 1.17 | 13.97 |
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Sol Strategies Hype Timeline
Sol Strategies Common is at this time traded for 1.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Sol is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -13.97%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.05%. The volatility of related hype on Sol Strategies is about 22707.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.39. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sol Strategies to cross-verify your projections.Sol Strategies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sol Strategies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sol Strategies' future price movements. Getting to know how Sol Strategies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sol Strategies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OFS | OFS Capital Corp | 0.14 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.63 | (4.62) | 17.27 | |
| GRAN | Grande Group Limited | 0.33 | 4 per month | 5.98 | (0.01) | 11.31 | (10.16) | 55.88 | |
| HNNA | Hennessy Ad | 0.04 | 6 per month | 1.89 | (0.01) | 2.45 | (3.16) | 10.41 | |
| SSEA | Starry Sea Acquisition | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.62) | 0.30 | (0.10) | 0.70 | |
| DAIC | CID HoldCo Common | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 8.39 | (17.65) | 55.68 | |
| GECC | Great Elm Capital | 0.15 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.77 | (4.13) | 9.09 | |
| DOMH | Dominari Holdings | (0.37) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.27 | (8.39) | 24.97 | |
| PFX | Phenixfin | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.58 | (3.42) | 12.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sol Strategies
For every potential investor in Sol, whether a beginner or expert, Sol Strategies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sol Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sol Strategies' price trends.Sol Strategies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sol Strategies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sol Strategies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sol Strategies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sol Strategies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sol Strategies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sol Strategies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sol Strategies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sol Strategies Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sol Strategies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sol Strategies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sol Strategies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sol stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.42 | |||
| Variance | 55.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sol Strategies
The number of cover stories for Sol Strategies depends on current market conditions and Sol Strategies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sol Strategies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sol Strategies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sol Strategies to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Will Capital Markets sector continue expanding? Could Sol diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sol Strategies. If investors know Sol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sol Strategies data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Sol Strategies Common using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Sol Strategies' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Sol Strategies' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sol Strategies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sol Strategies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Sol Strategies' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.