Starz Entertainment Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| STRZ Stock | USD 10.33 0.23 2.28% |
Starz Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Starz Entertainment's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Starz Entertainment, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0825 | Wall Street Target Price 19 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Starz Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Starz Entertainment LLC from the perspective of Starz Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Starz Entertainment using Starz Entertainment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Starz using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Starz Entertainment's stock price.
Starz Entertainment Implied Volatility | 1.35 |
Starz Entertainment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Starz Entertainment LLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Starz Entertainment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Starz Entertainment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Starz Entertainment's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Starz Entertainment LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.61. Starz Entertainment after-hype prediction price | USD 10.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Starz Entertainment to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Starz contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Starz Entertainment LLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0844% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Starz Entertainment trading at USD 10.33, that is roughly USD 0.008716 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Starz Entertainment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Starz Entertainment LLC options at the current volatility level of 1.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Starz Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Starz Entertainment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Starz Entertainment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Starz Entertainment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Starz Entertainment's open interest, investors have to compare it to Starz Entertainment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Starz Entertainment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Starz. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Starz Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Starz price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Starz using various technical indicators. When you analyze Starz charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Starz Entertainment Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Starz Entertainment LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Starz Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Starz Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Starz Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Starz Entertainment | Starz Entertainment Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Starz Entertainment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Starz Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Starz Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.49 and 13.13, respectively. We have considered Starz Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Starz Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Starz Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0995 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2724 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0248 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.6137 |
Predictive Modules for Starz Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starz Entertainment LLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Starz Entertainment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Starz Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Starz Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Starz Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Starz Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Starz Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Starz Entertainment's historical news coverage. Starz Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.02 and 13.64, respectively. We have considered Starz Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Starz Entertainment is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Starz Entertainment LLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Starz Entertainment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Starz Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Starz Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Starz Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 3.32 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 20 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 20 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.33 | 10.33 | 0.00 |
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Starz Entertainment Hype Timeline
Starz Entertainment LLC is at this time traded for 10.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Starz is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Starz Entertainment is about 7063.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.33. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Starz Entertainment LLC recorded a loss per share of 12.64. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of May 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 20 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Starz Entertainment to cross-verify your projections.Starz Entertainment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Starz Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Starz Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how Starz Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Starz Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EVC | Entravision Communications | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.51 | 0.13 | 5.93 | (3.35) | 48.82 | |
| SSP | E W Scripps | (0.24) | 12 per month | 3.74 | 0.11 | 7.52 | (6.60) | 53.49 | |
| GAIA | Gaia Inc | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.37 | (6.75) | 13.18 | |
| TRUE | TrueCar | 0.15 | 14 per month | 1.81 | 0.01 | 4.74 | (3.48) | 12.10 | |
| WIMI | WiMi Hologram Cloud | 0.16 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.15 | (5.94) | 18.66 | |
| CXDO | Crexendo | (0.29) | 11 per month | 2.93 | 0.08 | 7.31 | (4.78) | 16.36 | |
| ATNI | ATN International | 0.08 | 7 per month | 1.69 | 0.19 | 5.16 | (2.94) | 22.28 | |
| TRVG | Trivago NV | 0.15 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.23 | (4.37) | 11.25 | |
| RDCM | Radcom | 0.15 | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.05 | (2.72) | 10.91 | |
| AMCX | AMC Networks | 0.15 | 6 per month | 1.98 | 0.04 | 4.07 | (3.04) | 13.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for Starz Entertainment
For every potential investor in Starz, whether a beginner or expert, Starz Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Starz Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Starz. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Starz Entertainment's price trends.Starz Entertainment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Starz Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Starz Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Starz Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Starz Entertainment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Starz Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Starz Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Starz Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Starz Entertainment LLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Starz Entertainment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Starz Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Starz Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting starz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Variance | 10.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Starz Entertainment
The number of cover stories for Starz Entertainment depends on current market conditions and Starz Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Starz Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Starz Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Starz Entertainment Short Properties
Starz Entertainment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Starz Entertainment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Starz Entertainment LLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Starz Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starz Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.8 M |
Additional Tools for Starz Stock Analysis
When running Starz Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Starz Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Starz Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Starz Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Starz Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Starz Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Starz Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.