Silvaco Group Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| SVCO Stock | 12.60 0.14 1.12% |
Silvaco Group Common's Polynomial Regression forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. A small Bias confirms the model is not systematically over- or under-predicting. The Polynomial Regression model projects Silvaco Group at 12.07 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Polynomial Regression model forecasts Silvaco Group at 12.07 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.1 , and sum of absolute errors of 32.19 .This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in Silvaco Group's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Silvaco Group | Silvaco Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for Silvaco Group reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The forecast band spans 4.23 to 19.91. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Polynomial Regression model's error metrics for Silvaco Group stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.228 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5278 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0964 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.1937 |
Other Forecasting Options for Silvaco Group
Bollinger Bands applied to Silvaco Group Stock price data measure how far Silvaco Group has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Silvaco Group's price data. On-balance volume for Silvaco Group Stock creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in Silvaco Group. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for Silvaco Group's.Silvaco Group Related Equities
Investors studying Silvaco Group often look at related stocks within the Information Technology space to gauge pricing and results. Growth rate gaps between Silvaco Group and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Silvaco Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Silvaco Group quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Silvaco Group. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation. Monitoring these indicators for Silvaco Group through complete market cycles reveals recurring patterns.
Silvaco Group Risk Indicators
Analyzing Silvaco Group's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Silvaco Group helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization. When semi-deviation is high relative to standard deviation, Silvaco Group's losses have been disproportionately large compared to gains.
| Mean Deviation | 4.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.94 | |||
| Variance | 63.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -5.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Silvaco Group Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Silvaco Group is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.74 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.03 million |