Scheid Vineyards Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SVIN Pink Sheet

USD 1.25 -0.10 -7.41%

Triple Exponential Smoothing is applied to Scheid Vineyards's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. AIC measures relative model quality — lower AIC values indicate a better-fitting model. The Triple Exponential Smoothing model projects Scheid Vineyards at 1.25 for the next trading day, at the most recent closing price. This Triple Exponential Smoothing output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.

Triple exponential smoothing (Holt-Winters method) for Scheid Vineyards extends the double exponential model by adding a seasonality component. It simultaneously estimates the level, trend, and periodic pattern in Scheid Vineyards price series.

Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing model forecasts Scheid Vineyards at 1.25 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 1.62 .

This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Scheid Vineyards' recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Scheid Vineyards

Scheid Vineyards Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast range for Scheid Vineyards defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The projected band runs from roughly 0.01 on the downside to about 6.32 on the upside. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.

Market Value

1.25

0.01

Downside

1.25

Expected Value

6.32

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Triple Exponential Smoothing model's error metrics for Scheid Vineyards pink sheet. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	Huge
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	0.0095
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	0.0275
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0186
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	1.62

This model is designed for Scheid Vineyards price data that exhibits both a directional trend and recurring seasonal patterns. If the underlying series lacks seasonality, simpler models may produce tighter forecasts with fewer parameters. As with all exponential smoothing methods, recent observations carry the greatest weight in the forecast.

Other Forecasting Options for Scheid Vineyards

The distribution of Scheid Vineyards' daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This reveals hidden support and resistance zones in Scheid Vineyards' chart that simple price charts miss. The slope of Scheid Vineyards' linear regression channel quantifies trend direction and strength over a chosen lookback period. Divergences between OBV and price foreshadow trend changes in Scheid Vineyards.

Scheid Vineyards Related Equities

Scheid Vineyards's market space within the Consumer Staples space is illustrated by the firms listed below. Profit comparisons show whether Scheid Vineyards earns above or below average returns next to its peers.

Plant Veda Foods Rooshine High Performance Beverages Chaoda Modern Agriculture Aristocrat Group Corp Else Nutrition Holdings Blast Applications Horrison Resources Skinvisible Cyanotech American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup

Risk & Return

Correlation

Scheid Vineyards Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Scheid Vineyards pink sheet provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Scheid Vineyards. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating Scheid Vineyards sessions. Persistent divergence between momentum indicators and price often precedes trend reversals in Scheid Vineyards.

	Rate Of Daily Change	0.93
	Day Median Price	1.25
	Day Typical Price	1.25
	Price Action Indicator	-0.05
	Period Momentum Indicator	-0.10
	Relative Strength Index	26.92

Scheid Vineyards Risk Indicators

Assessing Scheid Vineyards' risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for scheid vineyards pink sheet. The level of risk embedded in Scheid Vineyards' feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing Scheid Vineyards' downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses. These risk measures complement the price analysis above by framing how dispersed recent returns have been.

	Mean Deviation	1.93
	Standard Deviation	4.99
	Variance	24.86

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Scheid Vineyards Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Scheid Vineyards matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	884,000
	Cash And Short Term Investments	1.52 million

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average