Skyworth Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

SWDHF Stock  USD 0.42  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Skyworth Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Skyworth Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Skyworth Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Skyworth Group price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Skyworth Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Skyworth Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skyworth Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skyworth Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Skyworth Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Jan 13Jan 22Jan 30Feb 7Feb 18Feb 26Mar 6Mar 14Mar 24Apr 20.4150.4200.425
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Skyworth Group Skyworth Group forecast
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Skyworth Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Skyworth Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skyworth Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.42 and 0.42, respectively. We have considered Skyworth Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.42
0.42
Expected Value
0.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skyworth Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skyworth Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria49.3687
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Skyworth Group Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Skyworth Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skyworth Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.420.420.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.350.350.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Skyworth Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Skyworth Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Skyworth Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Skyworth Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Skyworth Group

For every potential investor in Skyworth, whether a beginner or expert, Skyworth Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skyworth Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skyworth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skyworth Group's price trends.

Skyworth Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skyworth Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skyworth Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skyworth Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Skyworth Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Skyworth Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Skyworth Group's current price.

Skyworth Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skyworth Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skyworth Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skyworth Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Skyworth Group Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Skyworth Pink Sheet

Skyworth Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Skyworth Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Skyworth with respect to the benefits of owning Skyworth Group security.