SCHWAB HEALTH Mutual Fund Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| SWHFX Fund | USD 24.37 0.17 0.70% |
SCHWAB HEALTH's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects SCHWAB HEALTH at 24.27 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. The 4 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts SCHWAB HEALTH at 24.27 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 14.47 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks SCHWAB HEALTH's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SCHWAB HEALTH | SCHWAB HEALTH Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
SCHWAB HEALTH's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The model places downside around 23.30 and upside around 25.23 for the next session. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for SCHWAB HEALTH mutual fund. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.2333 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0825 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2494 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.01 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.4675 |
Other Forecasting Options for SCHWAB HEALTH
Analyzing SCHWAB HEALTH's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in SCHWAB HEALTH's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.SCHWAB HEALTH Related Equities
SCHWAB HEALTH's market space within the Health space is illustrated by the firms listed below. Looking at SCHWAB HEALTH's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. A stock that beats its peers on many metrics often deserves a closer look from value-focused investors.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SCHWAB HEALTH Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Schwab Health Care, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of mutual fund behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in SCHWAB HEALTH.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.37 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.085 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.17 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.33 |
SCHWAB HEALTH Risk Indicators
Analyzing SCHWAB HEALTH's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for schwab health mutual fund. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for SCHWAB HEALTH.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7684 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9827 | |||
| Variance | 0.9657 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.