Seawright Holdings Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SWRI Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seawright Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Seawright Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Seawright Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The Seawright Holdings' current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.29. . The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (849.8 K).
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Seawright Holdings works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Seawright Holdings Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seawright Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seawright Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seawright Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Seawright Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Seawright Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Seawright Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seawright Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Seawright Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seawright Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seawright Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Seawright Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Seawright Holdings trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Seawright Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Seawright Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seawright Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Seawright Holdings

For every potential investor in Seawright, whether a beginner or expert, Seawright Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seawright Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seawright. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seawright Holdings' price trends.

Seawright Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seawright Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seawright Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seawright Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Seawright Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Seawright Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Seawright Holdings' current price.

Seawright Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seawright Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seawright Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seawright Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seawright Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Seawright Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Seawright Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Seawright Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Seawright Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seawright Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Seawright Stock please use our How to Invest in Seawright Holdings guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Beverages - Non-Alcoholic space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seawright Holdings. If investors know Seawright will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seawright Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Assets
(0.21)
The market value of Seawright Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seawright that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seawright Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seawright Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seawright Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seawright Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seawright Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seawright Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seawright Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.