Sayona Mining OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SYAXF Stock | USD 0.02 0 13.04% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sayona Mining Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08. Sayona OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sayona Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Sayona Mining Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sayona Mining Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000302, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sayona OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sayona Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sayona Mining OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Sayona Mining Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sayona Mining's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sayona Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 8.08, respectively. We have considered Sayona Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sayona Mining otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sayona Mining otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.5619 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0013 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0609 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0789 |
Predictive Modules for Sayona Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sayona Mining Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sayona Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Sayona Mining
For every potential investor in Sayona, whether a beginner or expert, Sayona Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sayona OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sayona. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sayona Mining's price trends.View Sayona Mining Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sayona Mining Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sayona Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sayona Mining's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Sayona Mining Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sayona Mining otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sayona Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sayona Mining otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sayona Mining Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sayona Mining Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sayona Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sayona Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sayona otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.92 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.96 | |||
| Variance | 63.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 64.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 54.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.49) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Sayona OTC Stock
Sayona Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sayona OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sayona with respect to the benefits of owning Sayona Mining security.