Seychelle Environmtl Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SYEV Stock | USD 0.0002 0.00 0.00% |
Seychelle Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Seychelle Environmtl's share price is approaching 45. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Seychelle Environmtl, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Seychelle Environmtl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seychelle Environmtl from the perspective of Seychelle Environmtl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seychelle Environmtl on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000047 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Seychelle Environmtl after-hype prediction price | USD 1.75E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Seychelle |
Seychelle Environmtl Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Seychelle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seychelle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seychelle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Seychelle Environmtl Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seychelle Environmtl on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000047, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seychelle Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seychelle Environmtl's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Seychelle Environmtl Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Seychelle Environmtl | Seychelle Environmtl Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Seychelle Environmtl Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Seychelle Environmtl's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seychelle Environmtl's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000002 and 56.21, respectively. We have considered Seychelle Environmtl's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seychelle Environmtl pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seychelle Environmtl pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 98.8816 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1503 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0028 |
Predictive Modules for Seychelle Environmtl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seychelle Environmtl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seychelle Environmtl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Seychelle Environmtl After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Seychelle Environmtl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seychelle Environmtl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Seychelle Environmtl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Seychelle Environmtl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Seychelle Environmtl's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seychelle Environmtl's historical news coverage. Seychelle Environmtl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered Seychelle Environmtl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Seychelle Environmtl is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seychelle Environmtl is based on 3 months time horizon.
Seychelle Environmtl Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Seychelle Environmtl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seychelle Environmtl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seychelle Environmtl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
7.23 | 56.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0002 | 0.0002 | 12.33 |
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Seychelle Environmtl Hype Timeline
Seychelle Environmtl is at this time traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Seychelle is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.75E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -12.33%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 7.23%. The volatility of related hype on Seychelle Environmtl is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.02. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Seychelle Environmtl recorded a loss per share of 0.0. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seychelle Environmtl to cross-verify your projections.Seychelle Environmtl Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Seychelle Environmtl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seychelle Environmtl's future price movements. Getting to know how Seychelle Environmtl's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seychelle Environmtl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FIFG | First Foods Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ORGH | OrgHarvest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLUP | Solucorp Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RBSY | Roboserver Systems Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MHHC | MHHC Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PHOT | Growlife | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 100.00 | (60.00) | 466.67 | |
| PSCR | Proto Script Pharmaceutical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IRNS | Ironstone Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AMCT | American Education Center | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GCHT | GC China Turbine | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Seychelle Environmtl
For every potential investor in Seychelle, whether a beginner or expert, Seychelle Environmtl's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seychelle Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seychelle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seychelle Environmtl's price trends.Seychelle Environmtl Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seychelle Environmtl pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seychelle Environmtl could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seychelle Environmtl by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Seychelle Environmtl Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seychelle Environmtl pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seychelle Environmtl shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seychelle Environmtl pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Seychelle Environmtl entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.02 |
Seychelle Environmtl Risk Indicators
The analysis of Seychelle Environmtl's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seychelle Environmtl's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seychelle pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 19.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 55.77 | |||
| Variance | 3110.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Seychelle Environmtl
The number of cover stories for Seychelle Environmtl depends on current market conditions and Seychelle Environmtl's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seychelle Environmtl is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seychelle Environmtl's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Seychelle Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Seychelle Environmtl's price analysis, check to measure Seychelle Environmtl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seychelle Environmtl is operating at the current time. Most of Seychelle Environmtl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seychelle Environmtl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seychelle Environmtl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seychelle Environmtl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.