Synovus Financial Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SYU1 Stock  EUR 52.50  1.00  1.94%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Synovus Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 54.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.14. Synovus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Synovus Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Synovus Financial polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Synovus Financial Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Synovus Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Synovus Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 54.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.25, mean absolute percentage error of 2.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Synovus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Synovus Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Synovus Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Synovus Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Synovus Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Synovus Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.34 and 56.71, respectively. We have considered Synovus Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.50
54.03
Expected Value
56.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Synovus Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Synovus Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0868
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2481
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.028
SAESum of the absolute errors76.1356
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Synovus Financial historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Synovus Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Synovus Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.8152.5055.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.2558.2060.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.2252.1753.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Synovus Financial

For every potential investor in Synovus, whether a beginner or expert, Synovus Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Synovus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Synovus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Synovus Financial's price trends.

Synovus Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Synovus Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Synovus Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Synovus Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Synovus Financial Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Synovus Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Synovus Financial's current price.

Synovus Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Synovus Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Synovus Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Synovus Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Synovus Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Synovus Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Synovus Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Synovus Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting synovus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Synovus Stock

When determining whether Synovus Financial Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Synovus Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Synovus Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Synovus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Synovus Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Synovus Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Synovus Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Synovus Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.