Take Two Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

T1TW34 Stock  BRL 272.02  0.37  0.14%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Take Two Interactive Software on the next trading day is expected to be 279.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.50. Take Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Take Two stock prices and determine the direction of Take Two Interactive Software's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Take Two's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Take Two is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Take Two Interactive Software value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Take Two Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Take Two Interactive Software on the next trading day is expected to be 279.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37, mean absolute percentage error of 10.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Take Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Take Two's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Take Two Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Take TwoTake Two Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Take Two Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Take Two's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Take Two's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 278.03 and 281.53, respectively. We have considered Take Two's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
272.02
278.03
Downside
279.78
Expected Value
281.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Take Two stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Take Two stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4544
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.3689
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0103
SAESum of the absolute errors144.5036
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Take Two Interactive Software. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Take Two. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Take Two

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Take Two Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
270.27272.02273.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
212.04213.79299.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
242.71261.81280.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Take Two. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Take Two's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Take Two's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Take Two Interactive.

Other Forecasting Options for Take Two

For every potential investor in Take, whether a beginner or expert, Take Two's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Take Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Take. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Take Two's price trends.

Take Two Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Take Two stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Take Two could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Take Two by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Take Two Interactive Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Take Two's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Take Two's current price.

Take Two Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Take Two stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Take Two shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Take Two stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Take Two Interactive Software entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Take Two Risk Indicators

The analysis of Take Two's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Take Two's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting take stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Take Stock

When determining whether Take Two Interactive offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Take Two's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Take Two Interactive Software Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Take Two Interactive Software Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Take Two to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Take Two's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Take Two is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Take Two's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.