TIMES CHINA Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

T2H Stock  EUR 0.03  0  4.41%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TIMES CHINA HLDGS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25. TIMES Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TIMES CHINA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for TIMES CHINA - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When TIMES CHINA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in TIMES CHINA price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of TIMES CHINA HLDGS.

TIMES CHINA Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TIMES CHINA HLDGS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000048, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TIMES Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TIMES CHINA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TIMES CHINA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TIMES CHINATIMES CHINA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TIMES CHINA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TIMES CHINA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TIMES CHINA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 20.45, respectively. We have considered TIMES CHINA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
20.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TIMES CHINA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TIMES CHINA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0011
MADMean absolute deviation0.0043
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1337
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2535
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past TIMES CHINA observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older TIMES CHINA HLDGS observations.

Predictive Modules for TIMES CHINA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIMES CHINA HLDGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0320.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0320.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TIMES CHINA

For every potential investor in TIMES, whether a beginner or expert, TIMES CHINA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TIMES Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TIMES. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TIMES CHINA's price trends.

TIMES CHINA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TIMES CHINA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TIMES CHINA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TIMES CHINA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TIMES CHINA HLDGS Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TIMES CHINA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TIMES CHINA's current price.

TIMES CHINA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TIMES CHINA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TIMES CHINA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TIMES CHINA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TIMES CHINA HLDGS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TIMES CHINA Risk Indicators

The analysis of TIMES CHINA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TIMES CHINA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting times stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in TIMES Stock

TIMES CHINA financial ratios help investors to determine whether TIMES Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TIMES with respect to the benefits of owning TIMES CHINA security.