Tabcorp Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

TABCF Stock  USD 0.60  0.00  0.00%   
Tabcorp Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tabcorp Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Tabcorp Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tabcorp Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Tabcorp Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Tabcorp Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tabcorp Holdings Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Tabcorp Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tabcorp Holdings Limited from the perspective of Tabcorp Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tabcorp Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52.

Tabcorp Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tabcorp Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Tabcorp Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tabcorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tabcorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tabcorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Tabcorp Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tabcorp Holdings Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tabcorp Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tabcorp Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tabcorp Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tabcorp Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tabcorp Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Tabcorp Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tabcorp Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tabcorp Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 2.28, respectively. We have considered Tabcorp Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.60
0.61
Expected Value
2.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tabcorp Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tabcorp Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.44
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0085
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0133
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5163
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tabcorp Holdings Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tabcorp Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tabcorp Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tabcorp Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tabcorp Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.602.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.522.19
Details

Tabcorp Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tabcorp Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tabcorp Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Tabcorp Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tabcorp Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tabcorp Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tabcorp Holdings' historical news coverage. Tabcorp Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 2.27, respectively. We have considered Tabcorp Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.60
0.60
After-hype Price
2.27
Upside
Tabcorp Holdings is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tabcorp Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tabcorp Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tabcorp Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tabcorp Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tabcorp Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.67
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.60
0.60
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Tabcorp Holdings Hype Timeline

Tabcorp Holdings is at this time traded for 0.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tabcorp is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tabcorp Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.60. About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tabcorp Holdings last dividend was issued on the 31st of August 2022. The entity had 734:727 split on the 24th of August 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tabcorp Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Tabcorp Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tabcorp Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tabcorp Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Tabcorp Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tabcorp Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MDEVFMelco International Development 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.00 (1.72) 13.24 
RHUHFRichelieu Hardware 0.00 0 per month 0.36  0.08  2.29 (1.32) 10.13 
SNMSFSpin Master Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.05 (3.05) 17.49 
TSIOF361 Degrees International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.00  0.00  7.66 
TODGFTODS SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GMALYGenting Malaysia Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  12.46 
TNLIYTrainline PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 0.00  0.00  7.20 
ELRXFAB Electrolux 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.17  0.00  0.00  19.50 
DELTFDelta Galil Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (1.05) 0.00  0.00  0.55 
PYTCYPlaytech PLC ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (6.17) 34.66 

Other Forecasting Options for Tabcorp Holdings

For every potential investor in Tabcorp, whether a beginner or expert, Tabcorp Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tabcorp Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tabcorp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tabcorp Holdings' price trends.

Tabcorp Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tabcorp Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tabcorp Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tabcorp Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tabcorp Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tabcorp Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tabcorp Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tabcorp Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Tabcorp Holdings Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tabcorp Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tabcorp Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tabcorp Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tabcorp pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Tabcorp Holdings

The number of cover stories for Tabcorp Holdings depends on current market conditions and Tabcorp Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tabcorp Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tabcorp Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Tabcorp Pink Sheet

Tabcorp Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tabcorp Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tabcorp with respect to the benefits of owning Tabcorp Holdings security.