TransAct Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TACT Stock | USD 3.95 0.38 10.64% |
TransAct Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of TransAct Technologies' share price is approaching 46. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TransAct Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.8 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.09) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.05) | Wall Street Target Price 5 |
Using TransAct Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TransAct Technologies Incorporated from the perspective of TransAct Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TransAct Technologies using TransAct Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TransAct using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TransAct Technologies' stock price.
TransAct Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long TransAct Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TransAct Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge TransAct Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.1158 | Short Percent 0.0018 | Short Ratio 0.35 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.1 K | 50 Day MA 4.1354 |
TransAct Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TransAct Technologies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 3.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.80.TransAct Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TransAct Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TransAct. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TransAct can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TransAct Technologies Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TransAct Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TransAct Technologies.
TransAct Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
TransAct Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TransAct Technologies Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TransAct Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TransAct Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when TransAct Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TransAct Technologies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 3.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.80. TransAct Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 3.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TransAct Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 TransAct Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TransAct Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TransAct Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TransAct Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TransAct Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to TransAct Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TransAct Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TransAct. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
TransAct Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TransAct price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TransAct using various technical indicators. When you analyze TransAct charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the TransAct Technologies' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1996-09-30 | Previous Quarter 17.7 M | Current Value 20 M | Quarterly Volatility 4.5 M |
TransAct Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TransAct Technologies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 3.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TransAct Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TransAct Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TransAct Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TransAct Technologies | TransAct Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TransAct Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TransAct Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TransAct Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.64 and 6.75, respectively. We have considered TransAct Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TransAct Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TransAct Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8457 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.095 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0232 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.7976 |
Predictive Modules for TransAct Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TransAct Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TransAct Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TransAct Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TransAct Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TransAct Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TransAct Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TransAct Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TransAct Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TransAct Technologies' historical news coverage. TransAct Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.80 and 7.10, respectively. We have considered TransAct Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TransAct Technologies is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TransAct Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
TransAct Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TransAct Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TransAct Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TransAct Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 3.05 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 17 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 17 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.95 | 3.95 | 0.00 |
|
TransAct Technologies Hype Timeline
TransAct Technologies is at this time traded for 3.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. TransAct is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on TransAct Technologies is about 1473.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.90. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.26. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TransAct Technologies has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.81. The firm last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2019. TransAct Technologies had 3:2 split on the 5th of April 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 17 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TransAct Technologies to cross-verify your projections.TransAct Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TransAct Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TransAct Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how TransAct Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TransAct Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KTCC | Key Tronic | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.37 | (4.72) | 18.68 | |
| UBXG | U BX Technology Ltd | (0.05) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.10 | (5.11) | 14.69 | |
| ODYS | Odysightai Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.70 | 0.10 | 9.49 | (6.42) | 25.92 | |
| NUKK | Nukkleus | (1.86) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 13.02 | (12.32) | 38.98 | |
| NEON | Neonode | (0.16) | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.95 | (5.26) | 18.94 | |
| PHUN | Phunware | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.24 | (5.94) | 13.16 | |
| SLNH | Soluna Holdings | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 16.25 | (13.18) | 41.38 | |
| MKTW | Marketwise | (0.06) | 14 per month | 1.66 | 0.05 | 4.01 | (2.84) | 23.45 | |
| MFI | mF International Limited | 0.15 | 27 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 18.00 | (15.70) | 47.72 | |
| NCTY | The9 Ltd ADR | 0.15 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.71 | (6.68) | 18.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for TransAct Technologies
For every potential investor in TransAct, whether a beginner or expert, TransAct Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TransAct Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TransAct. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TransAct Technologies' price trends.TransAct Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TransAct Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TransAct Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TransAct Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TransAct Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TransAct Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TransAct Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TransAct Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TransAct Technologies Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TransAct Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of TransAct Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TransAct Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting transact stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Variance | 8.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TransAct Technologies
The number of cover stories for TransAct Technologies depends on current market conditions and TransAct Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TransAct Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TransAct Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
TransAct Technologies Short Properties
TransAct Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when TransAct Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TransAct Technologies Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TransAct Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TransAct Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.4 M |
Additional Tools for TransAct Stock Analysis
When running TransAct Technologies' price analysis, check to measure TransAct Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TransAct Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of TransAct Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TransAct Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TransAct Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TransAct Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.