Teucrium Agricultural Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TAGS Etf | USD 22.88 0.33 1.42% |
Teucrium Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Teucrium Agricultural's share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Teucrium Agricultural, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Teucrium Agricultural hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teucrium Agricultural from the perspective of Teucrium Agricultural response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Teucrium Agricultural using Teucrium Agricultural's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Teucrium using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Teucrium Agricultural's stock price.
Teucrium Agricultural Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
Teucrium Agricultural's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Teucrium Agricultural stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Teucrium Agricultural's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Teucrium Agricultural stock will not fluctuate a lot when Teucrium Agricultural's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teucrium Agricultural on the next trading day is expected to be 22.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.99. Teucrium Agricultural after-hype prediction price | USD 22.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Teucrium contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Teucrium Agricultural will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Teucrium Agricultural trading at USD 22.88, that is roughly USD 0.009867 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Teucrium Agricultural's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Teucrium Agricultural options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Teucrium Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Teucrium Agricultural's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Teucrium Agricultural's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Teucrium Agricultural stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Teucrium Agricultural's open interest, investors have to compare it to Teucrium Agricultural's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Teucrium Agricultural is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Teucrium. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Teucrium Agricultural Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Teucrium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teucrium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teucrium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Teucrium Agricultural Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teucrium Agricultural on the next trading day is expected to be 22.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teucrium Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teucrium Agricultural's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Teucrium Agricultural Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Teucrium Agricultural | Teucrium Agricultural Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Teucrium Agricultural Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Teucrium Agricultural's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teucrium Agricultural's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.20 and 23.56, respectively. We have considered Teucrium Agricultural's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teucrium Agricultural etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teucrium Agricultural etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5833 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0092 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1332 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0058 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.99 |
Predictive Modules for Teucrium Agricultural
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teucrium Agricultural. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Teucrium Agricultural After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Teucrium Agricultural at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teucrium Agricultural or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Teucrium Agricultural, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Teucrium Agricultural Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Teucrium Agricultural's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teucrium Agricultural's historical news coverage. Teucrium Agricultural's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.20 and 23.56, respectively. We have considered Teucrium Agricultural's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Teucrium Agricultural is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teucrium Agricultural is based on 3 months time horizon.
Teucrium Agricultural Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Teucrium Agricultural is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teucrium Agricultural backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teucrium Agricultural, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.88 | 22.88 | 0.00 |
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Teucrium Agricultural Hype Timeline
Teucrium Agricultural is at this time traded for 22.88. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Teucrium is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Teucrium Agricultural is about 2518.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.88. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.18. Teucrium Agricultural had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teucrium Agricultural to cross-verify your projections.Teucrium Agricultural Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Teucrium Agricultural's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teucrium Agricultural's future price movements. Getting to know how Teucrium Agricultural's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teucrium Agricultural may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BERZ | MicroSectors Solactive FANG | (0.07) | 1 per month | 4.36 | 0.02 | 9.16 | (7.09) | 26.04 | |
| HIYS | Invesco High Yield | 0.12 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.28 | (0.23) | 0.79 | |
| EMIF | iShares Emerging Markets | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.36 | 0.21 | 1.70 | (0.90) | 3.81 | |
| MAPP | Harbor ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.01 | 0.88 | (0.89) | 2.67 | |
| MTUL | ETRACS 2x Leveraged | 0.33 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.73 | (5.63) | 14.40 | |
| QQXL | ProShares Ultra QQQ | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.67 | (4.20) | 10.49 | |
| DIVG | Invesco Exchange Traded | 0.14 | 1 per month | 0.60 | 0.03 | 1.45 | (1.19) | 3.19 | |
| BNKD | Bank of Montreal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.37 | (5.08) | 15.45 | |
| PWER | Macquarie ETF Trust | (0.27) | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.15 | 2.09 | (2.05) | 4.48 | |
| MLDR | Global X Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Teucrium Agricultural
For every potential investor in Teucrium, whether a beginner or expert, Teucrium Agricultural's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teucrium Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teucrium. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teucrium Agricultural's price trends.Teucrium Agricultural Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teucrium Agricultural etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teucrium Agricultural could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teucrium Agricultural by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Teucrium Agricultural Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teucrium Agricultural etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teucrium Agricultural shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teucrium Agricultural etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Teucrium Agricultural entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Teucrium Agricultural Risk Indicators
The analysis of Teucrium Agricultural's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teucrium Agricultural's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teucrium etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5765 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6918 | |||
| Variance | 0.4786 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Teucrium Agricultural
The number of cover stories for Teucrium Agricultural depends on current market conditions and Teucrium Agricultural's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teucrium Agricultural is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teucrium Agricultural's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teucrium Agricultural to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Investors evaluate Teucrium Agricultural using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Teucrium Agricultural's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Teucrium Agricultural's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teucrium Agricultural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teucrium Agricultural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Teucrium Agricultural's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.