Molson Coors Stock Forward View
| TAP-A Stock | USD 48.99 0.06 0.12% |
Molson Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Molson Coors stock prices and determine the direction of Molson Coors Beverage's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Molson Coors' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Molson Coors' share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Molson Coors, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.049 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Molson Coors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Molson Coors Beverage from the perspective of Molson Coors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Molson Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Molson Coors Beverage on the next trading day is expected to be 49.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.69.Molson Coors Beverage Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Molson Coors' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Molson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Molson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Molson Coors Beverage. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Molson Coors' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Molson Coors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Molson Coors Beverage on the next trading day is expected to be 49.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.69. Molson Coors after-hype prediction price | USD 48.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Molson Coors to cross-verify your projections. Molson Coors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Molson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Molson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Molson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Molson Coors Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Molson Coors' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 613.8 M | Current Value 950.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 911.1 M |
Molson Coors Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Molson Coors Beverage on the next trading day is expected to be 49.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37, mean absolute percentage error of 2.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Molson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Molson Coors' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Molson Coors Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Molson Coors | Molson Coors Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Molson Coors Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Molson Coors' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Molson Coors' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.05 and 51.58, respectively. We have considered Molson Coors' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Molson Coors stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Molson Coors stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.967 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.366 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0287 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 84.6915 |
Predictive Modules for Molson Coors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Molson Coors Beverage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Molson Coors After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Molson Coors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Molson Coors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Molson Coors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Molson Coors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Molson Coors' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Molson Coors' historical news coverage. Molson Coors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.73 and 51.25, respectively. We have considered Molson Coors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Molson Coors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Molson Coors Beverage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Molson Coors Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Molson Coors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Molson Coors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Molson Coors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.26 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.99 | 48.99 | 0.00 |
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Molson Coors Hype Timeline
Molson Coors Beverage is at this time traded for 48.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.11. Molson is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Molson Coors is about 444.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.10. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Molson Coors Beverage recorded a loss per share of 10.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 4th of October 2007. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Molson Coors to cross-verify your projections.Molson Coors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Molson Coors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Molson Coors' future price movements. Getting to know how Molson Coors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Molson Coors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PPC | Pilgrims Pride Corp | 1.30 | 8 per month | 1.38 | 0.11 | 3.22 | (1.79) | 8.77 | |
| SFD | Smithfield Foods Common | 0.73 | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.06 | 2.15 | (1.60) | 4.79 | |
| CPB | Campbells Co | 0.18 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.68 | (3.12) | 8.15 | |
| CAG | ConAgra Foods | 0.21 | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0.03 | 3.11 | (2.54) | 7.17 | |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies | 0.23 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.47 | (1.99) | 8.43 | |
| PRMB | Primo Brands | 0.16 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.17 | (3.57) | 24.08 | |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings | 0.52 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.04 | (2.96) | 30.34 | |
| EDU | New Oriental Education | (1.28) | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.03 | 3.64 | (3.34) | 8.57 | |
| SFM | Sprouts Farmers Market | 0.79 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.16 | (3.68) | 26.11 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | 2.24 | 9 per month | 1.12 | 0.15 | 3.53 | (2.25) | 9.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Molson Coors
For every potential investor in Molson, whether a beginner or expert, Molson Coors' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Molson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Molson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Molson Coors' price trends.Molson Coors Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Molson Coors stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Molson Coors could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Molson Coors by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Molson Coors Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Molson Coors stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Molson Coors shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Molson Coors stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Molson Coors Beverage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 48.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 48.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.03 |
Molson Coors Risk Indicators
The analysis of Molson Coors' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Molson Coors' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting molson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Molson Coors
The number of cover stories for Molson Coors depends on current market conditions and Molson Coors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Molson Coors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Molson Coors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Molson Coors Short Properties
Molson Coors' future price predictability will typically decrease when Molson Coors' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Molson Coors Beverage often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Molson Coors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Molson Coors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 209.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 969.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Molson Stock
Molson Coors financial ratios help investors to determine whether Molson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Molson with respect to the benefits of owning Molson Coors security.