AXS 2X Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TARK Etf  USD 90.22  2.55  2.91%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AXS 2X Innovation on the next trading day is expected to be 90.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.42. AXS Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
AXS 2X simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for AXS 2X Innovation are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as AXS 2X Innovation prices get older.

AXS 2X Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AXS 2X Innovation on the next trading day is expected to be 90.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27, mean absolute percentage error of 10.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AXS Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AXS 2X's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AXS 2X Etf Forecast Pattern

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AXS 2X Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AXS 2X's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AXS 2X's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.74 and 94.70, respectively. We have considered AXS 2X's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
90.22
90.22
Expected Value
94.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AXS 2X etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AXS 2X etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5755
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.605
MADMean absolute deviation2.2737
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0328
SAESum of the absolute errors136.42
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting AXS 2X Innovation forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent AXS 2X observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for AXS 2X

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AXS 2X Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.5889.1093.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.5885.1099.24
Details

Other Forecasting Options for AXS 2X

For every potential investor in AXS, whether a beginner or expert, AXS 2X's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AXS Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AXS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AXS 2X's price trends.

AXS 2X Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AXS 2X etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AXS 2X could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AXS 2X by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AXS 2X Innovation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AXS 2X's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AXS 2X's current price.

AXS 2X Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AXS 2X etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AXS 2X shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AXS 2X etf market strength indicators, traders can identify AXS 2X Innovation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AXS 2X Risk Indicators

The analysis of AXS 2X's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AXS 2X's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting axs etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether AXS 2X Innovation is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if AXS Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Axs 2x Innovation Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Axs 2x Innovation Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AXS 2X to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
The market value of AXS 2X Innovation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AXS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AXS 2X's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AXS 2X's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AXS 2X's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AXS 2X's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AXS 2X's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AXS 2X is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AXS 2X's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.