TAMBANG BATUBARA Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TBA Stock | EUR 0.14 0.00 0.00% |
TAMBANG Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of TAMBANG BATUBARA's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling TAMBANG, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TAMBANG BATUBARA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TAMBANG BATUBARA B from the perspective of TAMBANG BATUBARA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TAMBANG BATUBARA B on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06. TAMBANG BATUBARA after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TAMBANG |
TAMBANG BATUBARA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TAMBANG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TAMBANG using various technical indicators. When you analyze TAMBANG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TAMBANG BATUBARA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TAMBANG BATUBARA B on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000023, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TAMBANG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TAMBANG BATUBARA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TAMBANG BATUBARA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TAMBANG BATUBARA | TAMBANG BATUBARA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
TAMBANG BATUBARA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TAMBANG BATUBARA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TAMBANG BATUBARA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.32, respectively. We have considered TAMBANG BATUBARA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TAMBANG BATUBARA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TAMBANG BATUBARA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.4283 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0078 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.06 |
Predictive Modules for TAMBANG BATUBARA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TAMBANG BATUBARA B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TAMBANG BATUBARA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TAMBANG BATUBARA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TAMBANG BATUBARA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TAMBANG BATUBARA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TAMBANG BATUBARA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TAMBANG BATUBARA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TAMBANG BATUBARA's historical news coverage. TAMBANG BATUBARA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 4.32, respectively. We have considered TAMBANG BATUBARA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TAMBANG BATUBARA is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TAMBANG BATUBARA B is based on 3 months time horizon.
TAMBANG BATUBARA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TAMBANG BATUBARA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TAMBANG BATUBARA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TAMBANG BATUBARA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 4.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.14 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
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TAMBANG BATUBARA Hype Timeline
TAMBANG BATUBARA B is at this time traded for 0.14on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TAMBANG is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on TAMBANG BATUBARA is about 15923.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.14. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.51. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TAMBANG BATUBARA B last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 1970. The entity had 5:1 split on the 14th of December 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TAMBANG BATUBARA to cross-verify your projections.TAMBANG BATUBARA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TAMBANG BATUBARA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TAMBANG BATUBARA's future price movements. Getting to know how TAMBANG BATUBARA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TAMBANG BATUBARA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HYI | Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.11 | |
| 9M5 | MYFAIR GOLD P | (0.07) | 4 per month | 3.97 | 0.1 | 8.87 | (7.10) | 24.24 | |
| 5IS | Information Services | (0.20) | 4 per month | 1.03 | 0.13 | 3.79 | (2.04) | 20.97 | |
| RY4D | RYANAIR HLDGS ADR | 0.50 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.58 | (2.73) | 8.70 | |
| 0SV | STORAGEVAULT CANADA INC | 0.10 | 9 per month | 1.67 | 0.01 | 2.67 | (3.12) | 8.05 | |
| 10N | Enter Air SA | (0.12) | 3 per month | 0.94 | 0.12 | 3.44 | (1.86) | 18.84 | |
| D0D | DICKER DATA LTD | 0.00 | 2 per month | 2.58 | 0.04 | 4.42 | (4.92) | 11.46 | |
| UR3 | UNITED RENTALS | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.65 | (2.86) | 7.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for TAMBANG BATUBARA
For every potential investor in TAMBANG, whether a beginner or expert, TAMBANG BATUBARA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TAMBANG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TAMBANG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TAMBANG BATUBARA's price trends.TAMBANG BATUBARA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TAMBANG BATUBARA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TAMBANG BATUBARA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TAMBANG BATUBARA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TAMBANG BATUBARA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TAMBANG BATUBARA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TAMBANG BATUBARA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TAMBANG BATUBARA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TAMBANG BATUBARA B entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TAMBANG BATUBARA Risk Indicators
The analysis of TAMBANG BATUBARA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TAMBANG BATUBARA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tambang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8243 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Variance | 15.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TAMBANG BATUBARA
The number of cover stories for TAMBANG BATUBARA depends on current market conditions and TAMBANG BATUBARA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TAMBANG BATUBARA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TAMBANG BATUBARA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TAMBANG BATUBARA Short Properties
TAMBANG BATUBARA's future price predictability will typically decrease when TAMBANG BATUBARA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TAMBANG BATUBARA B often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TAMBANG BATUBARA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TAMBANG BATUBARA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.5 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 4.6 T |
Additional Tools for TAMBANG Stock Analysis
When running TAMBANG BATUBARA's price analysis, check to measure TAMBANG BATUBARA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TAMBANG BATUBARA is operating at the current time. Most of TAMBANG BATUBARA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TAMBANG BATUBARA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TAMBANG BATUBARA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TAMBANG BATUBARA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.