Brand House Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TBHC Stock | 1.41 0.10 7.63% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Brand House on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.93. Brand Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Brand House stock prices and determine the direction of The Brand House's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Brand House's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Brand House's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.64) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.42) | Wall Street Target Price 1 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
Using Brand House hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Brand House from the perspective of Brand House response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brand House using Brand House's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brand using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brand House's stock price.
Brand House Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Brand House's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Brand. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Brand House stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 1.3973 | Short Percent 0.1268 | Short Ratio 7.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 1.6716 |
Brand House Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Brand House's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brand. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brand can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Brand House. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Brand House Implied Volatility | 4.16 |
Brand House's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Brand House stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brand House's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brand House stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brand House's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Brand House on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.93. Brand House after-hype prediction price | USD 1.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brand House to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Brand Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Brand House's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Brand House's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Brand House stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Brand House's open interest, investors have to compare it to Brand House's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Brand House is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Brand. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Brand House Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brand price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brand using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brand charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brand House Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Brand House's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2002-04-30 | Previous Quarter 3.6 M | Current Value 6.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 30.3 M |
Brand House Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Brand House on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brand Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brand House's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brand House Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brand House | Brand House Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Brand House Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brand House's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brand House's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.76, respectively. We have considered Brand House's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brand House stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brand House stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6573 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0316 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0251 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.9279 |
Predictive Modules for Brand House
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brand House. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brand House After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brand House at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brand House or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brand House, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brand House Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brand House's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brand House's historical news coverage. Brand House's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 4.71, respectively. We have considered Brand House's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brand House is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brand House is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brand House Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brand House is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brand House backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brand House, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 3.30 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.41 | 1.41 | 0.00 |
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Brand House Hype Timeline
Brand House is at this time traded for 1.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Brand is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Brand House is about 4647.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.40. About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.2. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Brand House recorded a loss per share of 1.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of June 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brand House to cross-verify your projections.Brand House Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brand House's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brand House's future price movements. Getting to know how Brand House's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brand House may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRTS | CarPartsCom | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.69 | (7.69) | 23.61 | |
| LITB | LightInTheBox Holding Co | 0.01 | 7 per month | 5.83 | 0.03 | 13.41 | (9.79) | 30.20 | |
| QVCGA | QVC Group | (0.85) | 9 per month | 9.52 | (0) | 14.97 | (14.29) | 46.70 | |
| FAT | FAT Brands | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 11.11 | (14.52) | 44.83 | |
| NTZ | Natuzzi SpA | 0.15 | 10 per month | 4.29 | 0 | 10.37 | (7.04) | 25.04 | |
| LESL | Leslies | 0.27 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 9.20 | (9.63) | 42.31 | |
| WPRT | Westport Fuel Systems | (0.06) | 8 per month | 2.50 | 0.01 | 6.33 | (4.94) | 18.19 | |
| NDLS | Noodles Company | 0.04 | 11 per month | 5.08 | 0.07 | 13.64 | (8.75) | 44.79 | |
| MKDW | MKDWELL Tech Ordinary | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.00 | (5.88) | 31.11 | |
| SBDS | SBDS | (0.23) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 13.79 | (14.61) | 50.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brand House
For every potential investor in Brand, whether a beginner or expert, Brand House's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brand Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brand House's price trends.Brand House Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brand House stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brand House could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brand House by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brand House Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brand House stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brand House shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brand House stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Brand House entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Brand House Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brand House's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brand House's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brand stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Variance | 10.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brand House
The number of cover stories for Brand House depends on current market conditions and Brand House's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brand House is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brand House's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brand House Short Properties
Brand House's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brand House's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Brand House often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brand House's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brand House's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brand House to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brand House. If investors know Brand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brand House listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Brand House is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brand House's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brand House's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brand House's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brand House's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brand House's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brand House is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brand House's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.