Third Coast Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TCBX Stock  USD 38.45  0.14  0.37%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Third Coast Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 37.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.34. Third Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Third Coast's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Third Coast's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Third Coast Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Third Coast's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.386
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.8349
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.6876
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.8467
Wall Street Target Price
43
Using Third Coast hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Third Coast Bancshares from the perspective of Third Coast response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Third Coast Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Third Coast's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Third. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Third can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Third Coast Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Third Coast's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Third Coast.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Third Coast Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 37.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.34.

Third Coast after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Third Coast to cross-verify your projections.
Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 19.84 in 2026. Receivables Turnover is likely to drop to 8.71 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 12.7 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 11.9 M in 2026.

Third Coast Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Third price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Third using various technical indicators. When you analyze Third charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Third Coast's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-12-31
Previous Quarter
113.4 M
Current Value
116.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
83.7 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Third Coast is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Third Coast Bancshares value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Third Coast Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Third Coast Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 37.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Third Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Third Coast's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Third Coast Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Third CoastThird Coast Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Third Coast Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Third Coast's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Third Coast's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.53 and 39.09, respectively. We have considered Third Coast's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.45
37.31
Expected Value
39.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Third Coast stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Third Coast stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0966
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5377
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0141
SAESum of the absolute errors33.3376
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Third Coast Bancshares. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Third Coast. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Third Coast

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Third Coast Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.6838.4640.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.6140.8042.58
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.1343.0047.73
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.840.880.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Third Coast. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Third Coast's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Third Coast's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Third Coast Bancshares.

Other Forecasting Options for Third Coast

For every potential investor in Third, whether a beginner or expert, Third Coast's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Third Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Third. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Third Coast's price trends.

Third Coast Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Third Coast stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Third Coast could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Third Coast by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Third Coast Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Third Coast's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Third Coast's current price.

Third Coast Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Third Coast stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Third Coast shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Third Coast stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Third Coast Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Third Coast Risk Indicators

The analysis of Third Coast's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Third Coast's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting third stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Third Stock Analysis

When running Third Coast's price analysis, check to measure Third Coast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Third Coast is operating at the current time. Most of Third Coast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Third Coast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Third Coast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Third Coast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.