Mandom Indonesia Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

TCID Stock  IDR 2,170  80.00  3.56%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mandom Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 2,249 with a mean absolute deviation of 42.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,597. Mandom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Mandom Indonesia price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Mandom Indonesia Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Mandom Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 2,249 with a mean absolute deviation of 42.57, mean absolute percentage error of 2,986, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,597.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mandom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mandom Indonesia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mandom Indonesia Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mandom IndonesiaMandom Indonesia Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mandom Indonesia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mandom Indonesia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mandom Indonesia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,247 and 2,251, respectively. We have considered Mandom Indonesia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,170
2,249
Expected Value
2,251
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mandom Indonesia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mandom Indonesia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.1121
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation42.5716
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0181
SAESum of the absolute errors2596.8673
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Mandom Indonesia Tbk historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Mandom Indonesia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mandom Indonesia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,1962,2922,387
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mandom Indonesia

For every potential investor in Mandom, whether a beginner or expert, Mandom Indonesia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mandom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mandom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mandom Indonesia's price trends.

Mandom Indonesia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mandom Indonesia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mandom Indonesia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mandom Indonesia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mandom Indonesia Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mandom Indonesia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mandom Indonesia's current price.

Mandom Indonesia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mandom Indonesia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mandom Indonesia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mandom Indonesia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mandom Indonesia Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mandom Indonesia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mandom Indonesia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mandom Indonesia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mandom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Mandom Stock

Mandom Indonesia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mandom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mandom with respect to the benefits of owning Mandom Indonesia security.