Tactile Systems Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| TCMD Stock | USD 27.21 0.42 1.52% |
Tactile Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tactile Systems stock prices and determine the direction of Tactile Systems Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Tactile Systems' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Tactile Systems' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.714 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.805 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.945 | Wall Street Target Price 29.75 |
Using Tactile Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tactile Systems Technology from the perspective of Tactile Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tactile Systems using Tactile Systems' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tactile using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tactile Systems' stock price.
Tactile Systems Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Tactile Systems' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tactile. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tactile Systems stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 16.9459 | Short Percent 0.0953 | Short Ratio 5.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 28.5528 |
Tactile Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tactile Systems Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 27.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.65.Tactile Systems Tech Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Tactile Systems' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tactile. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tactile can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tactile Systems Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tactile Systems' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tactile Systems.
Tactile Systems Implied Volatility | 1.25 |
Tactile Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tactile Systems Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tactile Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tactile Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tactile Systems' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tactile Systems Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 27.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.65. Tactile Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 27.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tactile Systems to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tactile contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tactile Systems Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0781% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Tactile Systems trading at USD 27.21, that is roughly USD 0.0213 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tactile Systems' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tactile Systems Technology options at the current volatility level of 1.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Tactile Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tactile Systems' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tactile Systems' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tactile Systems stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tactile Systems' open interest, investors have to compare it to Tactile Systems' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tactile Systems is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tactile. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Tactile Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tactile price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tactile using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tactile charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tactile Systems Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tactile Systems Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 27.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tactile Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tactile Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tactile Systems Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tactile Systems | Tactile Systems Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Tactile Systems Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tactile Systems' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tactile Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.78 and 29.72, respectively. We have considered Tactile Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tactile Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tactile Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0102 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4774 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0173 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.6467 |
Predictive Modules for Tactile Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tactile Systems Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tactile Systems After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tactile Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tactile Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tactile Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tactile Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tactile Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tactile Systems' historical news coverage. Tactile Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.69 and 29.57, respectively. We have considered Tactile Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tactile Systems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tactile Systems Tech is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tactile Systems Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tactile Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tactile Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tactile Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.47 | 0.08 | 6.15 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.21 | 27.13 | 0.29 |
|
Tactile Systems Hype Timeline
Tactile Systems Tech is at this time traded for 27.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 6.15. Tactile is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Tactile Systems is about 7.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.36. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Tactile Systems was at this time reported as 9.18. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tactile Systems to cross-verify your projections.Tactile Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tactile Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tactile Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Tactile Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tactile Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RXST | Rxsight | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.97 | (5.79) | 23.38 | |
| SMLR | Semler Scientific | 339.30 | 9 per month | 4.86 | 0.12 | 18.45 | (9.64) | 1,670 | |
| DCTH | Delcath Systems | 0.13 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.44 | (4.10) | 13.50 | |
| BWAY | Brainsway | 0.49 | 8 per month | 2.73 | 0.1 | 7.25 | (4.53) | 15.24 | |
| BFLY | Butterfly Network | 0.17 | 9 per month | 5.38 | 0.07 | 12.50 | (9.68) | 33.45 | |
| NPCE | Neuropace | 0.83 | 8 per month | 2.04 | 0.14 | 6.30 | (4.34) | 43.20 | |
| SRDX | SurModics | 0.39 | 7 per month | 1.26 | 0.07 | 2.09 | (2.90) | 49.69 | |
| KIDS | Orthopediatrics Corp | (0.33) | 7 per month | 2.15 | (0.01) | 3.72 | (2.97) | 16.89 | |
| CBLL | CeriBell | 0.94 | 10 per month | 2.03 | 0.24 | 6.82 | (3.94) | 18.00 | |
| VMD | Viemed Healthcare | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.16 | 0.18 | 3.57 | (2.64) | 8.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tactile Systems
For every potential investor in Tactile, whether a beginner or expert, Tactile Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tactile Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tactile. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tactile Systems' price trends.Tactile Systems Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tactile Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tactile Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tactile Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tactile Systems Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tactile Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tactile Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tactile Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tactile Systems Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11786.84 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.33) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.63) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.42) |
Tactile Systems Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tactile Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tactile Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tactile stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.64 | |||
| Variance | 31.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tactile Systems
The number of cover stories for Tactile Systems depends on current market conditions and Tactile Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tactile Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tactile Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Tactile Systems Short Properties
Tactile Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Tactile Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tactile Systems Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tactile Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tactile Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tactile Systems to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Tactile diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tactile Systems. If investors know Tactile will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Tactile Systems data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.714 | Earnings Share 0.74 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.173 | Return On Assets |
Tactile Systems Tech's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Tactile's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Tactile Systems' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Tactile Systems' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tactile Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tactile Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tactile Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.