Toucan Interactive Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| TCNT Stock | USD 0.0005 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Toucan Interactive Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000508 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003. Toucan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Toucan Interactive's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Toucan Interactive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Toucan Interactive Corp from the perspective of Toucan Interactive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Toucan Interactive Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000508 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003. Toucan Interactive after-hype prediction price | USD 5.3E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Toucan |
Toucan Interactive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Toucan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Toucan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Toucan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Toucan Interactive Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Toucan Interactive Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000508, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Toucan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Toucan Interactive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Toucan Interactive Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Toucan Interactive | Toucan Interactive Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Toucan Interactive Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Toucan Interactive's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Toucan Interactive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000005 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered Toucan Interactive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Toucan Interactive pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Toucan Interactive pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 93.546 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0102 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for Toucan Interactive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toucan Interactive Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Toucan Interactive After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Toucan Interactive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Toucan Interactive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Toucan Interactive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Toucan Interactive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Toucan Interactive's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Toucan Interactive's historical news coverage. Toucan Interactive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered Toucan Interactive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Toucan Interactive is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Toucan Interactive Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Toucan Interactive Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Toucan Interactive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Toucan Interactive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Toucan Interactive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.03 | 8.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0005 | 0.0005 | 5.97 |
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Toucan Interactive Hype Timeline
Toucan Interactive Corp is at this time traded for 0.0005. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Toucan is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.3E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 5.97%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.03%. The volatility of related hype on Toucan Interactive is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Toucan Interactive Corp currently holds about 8.53 K in cash with (14.83 K) of positive cash flow from operations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toucan Interactive to cross-verify your projections.Toucan Interactive Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Toucan Interactive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Toucan Interactive's future price movements. Getting to know how Toucan Interactive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Toucan Interactive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XSVT | Xsovt Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NOHO | Novation Hldgs | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| YSGG | 1399 Internet Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CDIV | Cascadia Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,997 | |
| TGIC | Triad Guaranty | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.67 | |
| SDON | Sandston Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NLSC | Namliong SkyCosmos | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AFCL | Amcor Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MEIL | Methes Energies International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 278.57 | |
| VHLD | Vector 21 Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Toucan Interactive
For every potential investor in Toucan, whether a beginner or expert, Toucan Interactive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Toucan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Toucan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Toucan Interactive's price trends.Toucan Interactive Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Toucan Interactive pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Toucan Interactive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toucan Interactive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Toucan Interactive Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Toucan Interactive pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Toucan Interactive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Toucan Interactive pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Toucan Interactive Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.0E-4 |
Toucan Interactive Risk Indicators
The analysis of Toucan Interactive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Toucan Interactive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting toucan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.21 | |||
| Variance | 67.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Toucan Interactive
The number of cover stories for Toucan Interactive depends on current market conditions and Toucan Interactive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Toucan Interactive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Toucan Interactive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Toucan Interactive Short Properties
Toucan Interactive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Toucan Interactive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Toucan Interactive Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Toucan Interactive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toucan Interactive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2830.00 |
Additional Tools for Toucan Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Toucan Interactive's price analysis, check to measure Toucan Interactive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toucan Interactive is operating at the current time. Most of Toucan Interactive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toucan Interactive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toucan Interactive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toucan Interactive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.