Transatlantic Mining Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TCO Stock  CAD 0.11  0.01  10.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Transatlantic Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.40. Transatlantic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Transatlantic Mining's Short Term Investments are fairly stable compared to the past year.
Transatlantic Mining simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Transatlantic Mining Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Transatlantic Mining Corp prices get older.

Transatlantic Mining Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Transatlantic Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000089, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Transatlantic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Transatlantic Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Transatlantic Mining Stock Forecast Pattern

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Transatlantic Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Transatlantic Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Transatlantic Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 11.79, respectively. We have considered Transatlantic Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.11
0.11
Expected Value
11.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Transatlantic Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Transatlantic Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.9471
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0016
MADMean absolute deviation0.0066
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0757
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3967
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Transatlantic Mining Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Transatlantic Mining observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Transatlantic Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transatlantic Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1211.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0911.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Transatlantic Mining

For every potential investor in Transatlantic, whether a beginner or expert, Transatlantic Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Transatlantic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Transatlantic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Transatlantic Mining's price trends.

Transatlantic Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Transatlantic Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Transatlantic Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Transatlantic Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Transatlantic Mining Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Transatlantic Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Transatlantic Mining's current price.

Transatlantic Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Transatlantic Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Transatlantic Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Transatlantic Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Transatlantic Mining Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Transatlantic Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Transatlantic Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Transatlantic Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting transatlantic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Transatlantic Stock Analysis

When running Transatlantic Mining's price analysis, check to measure Transatlantic Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Transatlantic Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Transatlantic Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Transatlantic Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Transatlantic Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Transatlantic Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.