TESCO PLC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TCO2 Stock  EUR 14.90  0.30  2.05%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of TESCO PLC ADR1 on the next trading day is expected to be 14.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.40. TESCO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TESCO PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the value of rsi of TESCO PLC's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TESCO PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TESCO PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TESCO PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TESCO PLC ADR1, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TESCO PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TESCO PLC ADR1 from the perspective of TESCO PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of TESCO PLC ADR1 on the next trading day is expected to be 14.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.40.

TESCO PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 14.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TESCO PLC to cross-verify your projections.

TESCO PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TESCO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TESCO using various technical indicators. When you analyze TESCO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
TESCO PLC polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for TESCO PLC ADR1 as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

TESCO PLC Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of TESCO PLC ADR1 on the next trading day is expected to be 14.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TESCO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TESCO PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TESCO PLC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TESCO PLCTESCO PLC Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TESCO PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TESCO PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TESCO PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.69 and 16.97, respectively. We have considered TESCO PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.90
14.83
Expected Value
16.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TESCO PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TESCO PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8427
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2525
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0167
SAESum of the absolute errors15.4046
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the TESCO PLC historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for TESCO PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TESCO PLC ADR1. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7814.9017.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5612.6816.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.4214.9415.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TESCO PLC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TESCO PLC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TESCO PLC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TESCO PLC ADR1.

Other Forecasting Options for TESCO PLC

For every potential investor in TESCO, whether a beginner or expert, TESCO PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TESCO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TESCO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TESCO PLC's price trends.

TESCO PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TESCO PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TESCO PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TESCO PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TESCO PLC ADR1 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TESCO PLC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TESCO PLC's current price.

TESCO PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TESCO PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TESCO PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TESCO PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TESCO PLC ADR1 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TESCO PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of TESCO PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TESCO PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tesco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in TESCO Stock

TESCO PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether TESCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TESCO with respect to the benefits of owning TESCO PLC security.