TECSYS Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average

TCS Stock

CAD 35.24 -0.84 -2.33%

This 20 Period Moving Average projection for TECSYS is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects TECSYS at 35.35 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.

The 20-period moving average forecast for TECSYS Inc replaces each daily value with the mean of that value and the 20 preceding closing prices. This is a widely used smoothing window that spans approximately one month of trading data.

20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts TECSYS at 35.35 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.07 , and sum of absolute errors of 94.93 .

This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in TECSYS's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TECSYS

TECSYS Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The projected range for TECSYS reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The model places downside around 32.52 and upside around 38.18 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.

Market Value

35.24

32.52

Downside

35.35

Expected Value

38.18

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for TECSYS stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	83.5346
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	-2.2282
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	2.3153
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.069
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	94.9265

The broader window aggressively filters short-term noise in TECSYS price data, producing a smooth trend line. This makes it useful for identifying the prevailing direction of TECSYS Inc prices but slow to respond to reversals. The model is reliable only for very short-term projections (one to two periods).

Other Forecasting Options for TECSYS

Fibonacci retracement levels applied to TECSYS Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in TECSYS occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from TECSYS's historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves.

TECSYS Related Equities

The peer firms below within the Information Technology space frame TECSYS's pricing and running costs in context. Looking at TECSYS's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Peer pricing is more meaningful when the firms compared share similar business models and end markets.

Real Matters Blackline Safety Corp Computer Modelling Group Coveo Solutions Telesat Corp Intermap Technologies Corp Dye Durham Xtract One Technologies American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup SentinelOne CVS Health Corp

Risk & Return

Correlation

TECSYS Market Strength Events

Rate of Change and Momentum readings for TECSYS measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in TECSYS have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside TECSYS's volume profile and volatility measures.

	Accumulation Distribution	0.0152
	Daily Balance Of Power	-1.56
	Rate Of Daily Change	0.98
	Day Median Price	35.37
	Day Typical Price	35.33
	Market Facilitation Index	0.54
	Price Action Indicator	-0.55
	Period Momentum Indicator	-0.84
	Relative Strength Index	64.82

TECSYS Risk Indicators

Standard deviation and variance for TECSYS measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that TECSYS's price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing TECSYS's risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range.

	Mean Deviation	1.9
	Semi Deviation	2.26
	Standard Deviation	2.78
	Variance	7.71
	Downside Variance	7.57
	Semi Variance	5.1
	Expected Short fall	-2.17

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

TECSYS Short Properties

Reviewing short-oriented indicators for TECSYS is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	14.88 million
	Cash And Short Term Investments	39.29 million

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average