Tarena International Stock Forward View
| TCTMDelisted Stock | 0.50 0.06 13.64% |
Tarena Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Tarena International's share price is approaching 42. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tarena International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tarena International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tarena International from the perspective of Tarena International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tarena International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.06. Tarena International after-hype prediction price | USD 0.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tarena |
Tarena International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tarena price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tarena using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tarena charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tarena International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tarena International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tarena Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tarena International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tarena International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tarena International | Tarena International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tarena International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tarena International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1414 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0501 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1243 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.0572 |
Predictive Modules for Tarena International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tarena International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tarena International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tarena International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tarena International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tarena International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tarena International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tarena International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tarena International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tarena International's historical news coverage. Tarena International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.50 and 0.50, respectively. We have considered Tarena International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tarena International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tarena International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tarena International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tarena International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tarena International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tarena International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
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Tarena International Hype Timeline
Tarena International is at this time traded for 0.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tarena is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tarena International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.50. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tarena International recorded a loss per share of 3.28. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of April 2018. The firm had 1:5 split on the 23rd of December 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.Tarena International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tarena International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tarena International's future price movements. Getting to know how Tarena International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tarena International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TWOU | 2U Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CLEU | China Liberal Education | (0.10) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 33.33 | (35.00) | 155.13 | |
| EAST | Eastside Distilling | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SRXH | SRx Health Solutions | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 20.83 | (18.75) | 64.20 | |
| BTCT | BTC Digital | (0.08) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 9.26 | (6.98) | 37.58 | |
| IMG | CIMG Inc | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 15.60 | (14.68) | 47.57 | |
| RYB | RYB Education | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RGF | Real Good Food | 0.06 | 3 per month | 20.64 | 0.06 | 19.48 | (59.68) | 585.00 | |
| MF | Missfresh Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VEDU | Visionary Education Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Tarena International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tarena International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tarena International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tarena International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tarena International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tarena International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tarena International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tarena International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tarena International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tarena International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tarena International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tarena International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tarena stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 12.92 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 42.42 | |||
| Variance | 1799.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 138.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 96.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (21.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tarena International
The number of cover stories for Tarena International depends on current market conditions and Tarena International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tarena International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tarena International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tarena International Short Properties
Tarena International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tarena International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tarena International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tarena International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tarena International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221 M |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Other Consideration for investing in Tarena Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Tarena International check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Tarena International's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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