Tarena International Stock Price Prediction
| TCTM Stock | 0.83 0.02 2.47% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tarena International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tarena International from the perspective of Tarena International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tarena International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tarena because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tarena International after-hype prediction price | USD 0.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tarena |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tarena International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tarena International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tarena International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tarena International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tarena International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tarena International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tarena International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tarena International's historical news coverage. Tarena International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 9.48, respectively. We have considered Tarena International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tarena International is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tarena International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tarena International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tarena International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tarena International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tarena International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 8.66 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 1 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.83 | 0.82 | 1.20 |
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Tarena International Hype Timeline
Tarena International is at this time traded for 0.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Tarena is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.2%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Tarena International is about 1239.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.95. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tarena International last dividend was issued on the 4th of April 2018. The entity had 1:5 split on the 23rd of December 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Tarena International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tarena International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tarena International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tarena International's future price movements. Getting to know how Tarena International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tarena International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLAY | Dave Busters Entertainment | (1.17) | 11 per month | 2.76 | 0.06 | 6.61 | (4.57) | 14.95 | |
| HTZ | Hertz Global Holdings | 0.66 | 9 per month | 4.17 | 0.09 | 8.61 | (7.91) | 21.19 | |
| NCMI | National CineMedia | (0.27) | 7 per month | 2.40 | (0.05) | 3.49 | (2.77) | 14.85 | |
| HRI | Herc Holdings | 7.88 | 10 per month | 1.14 | 0.20 | 5.52 | (2.36) | 20.05 | |
| GSL-PB | Global Ship Lease | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.48 | (0.13) | 1.02 | (0.80) | 4.03 | |
| UHAL | U Haul Holding | 0.09 | 9 per month | 1.42 | (0.07) | 2.58 | (2.22) | 6.88 | |
| VSTS | Vestis | 0.16 | 7 per month | 1.59 | 0.05 | 3.54 | (2.93) | 17.30 | |
| WSC | Willscot Mobile Mini | (1.76) | 12 per month | 2.96 | (0.03) | 3.73 | (3.34) | 18.49 |
Tarena International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tarena price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tarena using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tarena charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tarena International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tarena International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tarena International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tarena International based on analysis of Tarena International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tarena International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tarena International's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 134.78 | 200.81 | 150.53 | 105.7 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.78 | 42.95 | 38.66 | 40.59 |
Story Coverage note for Tarena International
The number of cover stories for Tarena International depends on current market conditions and Tarena International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tarena International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tarena International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Tarena International Short Properties
Tarena International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tarena International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tarena International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tarena International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tarena International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221 M |
Check out Tarena International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Tarena Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tarena International guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tarena International. If investors know Tarena will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tarena International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share 127.631 | Return On Assets 0.0071 |
The market value of Tarena International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tarena that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tarena International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tarena International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tarena International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tarena International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tarena International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tarena International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tarena International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.