Teads BV Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| TEAD Stock | 1.06 0.19 21.84% |
Polynomial Regression is applied to Teads BV's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. The Polynomial Regression model projects Teads BV at 1.16 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This Polynomial Regression output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 10th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Polynomial Regression model forecasts Teads BV at 1.16 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and sum of absolute errors of 2.47 .This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in Teads BV's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Teads BV | Teads BV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Teads BV defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The model places downside around 0.01 and upside around 8.48 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Polynomial Regression model's error metrics for Teads BV stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0727 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0398 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0513 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.4699 |
Other Forecasting Options for Teads BV
Teads BV's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Teads BV often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration.Teads BV Related Equities
These stocks within the Communication Services space are often compared to Teads BV by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Looking at Teads BV's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Peer pricing is more meaningful when the firms compared share similar business models and end markets.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Teads BV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Teads BV stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Teads BV.
Teads BV Risk Indicators
Assessing Teads BV's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for teads bv stock. The level of risk embedded in Teads BV's feeds directly into exposure calibration.
| Mean Deviation | 4.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.77 | |||
| Variance | 45.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 51.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 39.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -5.35 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Teads BV Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Teads BV matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.86 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 138.7 million |